International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS)
English
United States, Cahokia
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
数据描述
The International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) project is the most complete global collection of tropical cyclones available. It merges recent and historical tropical cyclone data from multiple agencies to create a unified, publicly available, best-track dataset that improves inter-agency comparisons.
www.ncei.noaa.gov
IP: 205.167.25.168
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2020
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Nature Communications
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Nature Communications
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Nature Communications
2026
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2025
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Nature Communications
2026
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Nature Communications
2023
•2023/8/24
•Vol.14 No.1 p.1-9
Rapid intensification (RI) is an essential process in the development of strong tropical cyclones and a major challenge in prediction. RI in offshore regions is more threatening to coastal populations and economies. Although much effort has been devoted to studying basin-wide temporal-spatial fluctu...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate change
10.1038/S41467-023-40605-2
ISSN:2041-1723
Compound marine heatwaves and tropical cyclones delay the onset of the Bay of Bengal summer monsoon
Xiong Zhou•Kang Xu•Karumuri Ashok•Jian Shi•Lei Zhang等 10 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/5/1
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-13
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) and tropical cyclones (TCs) are prominent extreme events in the Bay of Bengal (BoB), whose co-occurrence can amplify their impacts. This study explores the mechanisms behind compound MHW-TC events and their influence on the onset of the BoB summer monsoon (BoBSM). Our finding...
Atmospheric dynamicsPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41612-025-01061-5
ISSN:2397-3722
Shifting hotspot of tropical cyclone clusters in a warming climate
Zheng-Hang Fu•Dazhi Xi•Shang-Ping Xie•Wen Zhou•Ning Lin等 8 人
Nature Climate Change
2025
•2025/7/31
•00 p.1-9
Multiple tropical cyclones can be present concurrently within one ocean basin, and these clusters can induce compound hazards within a short time window. While the western North Pacific has historically been home to most tropical cyclone clusters, how climate change might affect this is unclear. Her...
Climate and Earth system modellingProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41558-025-02397-9
ISSN:1758-678X
Tropical cyclone activity over western North Pacific favors Arctic sea ice increase
Liangying Zeng•Yao Ha•Chuanfeng Zhao•Haixia Dai•Yimin Zhu等 10 人
Nature Communications
2024
•2024/11/5
•Vol.15 No.1 p.1-11
Teleconnections between the tropics and the Arctic have attracted a lot of scientific interest. However, the mechanisms by which tropical synoptic-scale systems influence the variability of Arctic sea ice remain unknown. In this study, we highlight the impacts of tropical cyclone (TC) activity over ...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate-change impacts
10.1038/S41467-024-53991-Y
ISSN:2041-1723
Rapid intensification of tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico is more likely during marine heatwaves
Soheil Radfar•Hamed Moftakhari•Hamid Moradkhani
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
•2024/8/9
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-13
Tropical cyclones can rapidly intensify under favorable oceanic and atmospheric conditions. This phenomenon is complex and difficult to predict, making it a serious challenge for coastal communities. A key contributing factor to the intensification process is the presence of prolonged high sea surfa...
Atmospheric dynamicsEnvironmental sciencesNatural hazardsOcean sciences
10.1038/S43247-024-01578-2
ISSN:2662-4435
Global distribution and decline of mangrove coastal protection extends far beyond area loss
Xichen Xu•Dongjie Fu•Fenzhen Su•Vincent Lyne•Hao Yu等 8 人
Nature Communications
2024
•2024/11/26
•Vol.15 No.1 p.1-13
Mangroves protect coasts from extreme weather and erosion but can be destroyed by climate change and harvesting. However, there is no consistent formulation of protective capacity that integrates key factors such as area, width, height, and health. Here, we quantified and analyzed a process-based me...
Climate-change ecologySocial sciencesWetlands ecology
10.1038/S41467-024-54349-0
ISSN:2041-1723
Oceanic memory of tropical cyclones moderates the Kuroshio current
Deyuan Zhang•Zhanhong Ma•Lijing Cheng•Yanluan Lin•Fanghua Xu等 9 人
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/7/26
•Vol.16 No.1 p.1-13
Tropical cyclones (TCs) dramatically disturb the upper ocean and leave subsurface temperature anomalies that persist beyond their lifetimes, representing an oceanic “memory” of TC activity. How this long-term memory affects large-scale ocean circulation remains an open question. Here, we use high-re...
Climate sciencesOcean sciences
10.1038/S41467-025-62239-2
ISSN:2041-1723
Lapsed El Niño impact on Atlantic and Northwest Pacific tropical cyclone activity in 2023
Jiuwei Zhao•Ruifen Zhan•Yuqing Wang•Shang-Ping Xie•Leying Zhang等 6 人
Nature Communications
2024
•2024/8/7
•Vol.15 No.1 p.1-11
A typical El Niño event often results in suppressed tropical cyclone (TC) genesis frequency (TCGF) over the North Atlantic (NA) and a distinct northwest-southeast dipole pattern in TCGF anomaly over the western North Pacific (WNP). The 2023 saw a strong El Niño event but surprisingly active NA and s...
AttributionClimate and Earth system modelling
10.1038/S41467-024-51241-9
ISSN:2041-1723
Tropical SST modes provide a unified explanation for global tropical cyclogenesis changes
Jiangyu Li•Xiangbo Feng•Shaoqing Zhang•Ralf Toumi•Jing Xu
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2026
•2026/1/16
•Vol.9 No.1 p.500
Over the past four decades, global tropical cyclogenesis (TCG) frequency has exhibited no trend related to strong interannual variability and uneven regional TCG trends, despite pronounced global sea surface temperature (SST) increases. This study offers new evidence explaining the disparity between...
Climate sciencesOcean sciences
10.1038/S41612-026-01323-W
ISSN:2397-3722
Monsoon-driven waves induce a prevailing recession in mangrove forests across the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna Delta
Yuan Xiong•Zhijun Dai•Chuqi Long•Xuefei Mei•Jinping Cheng等 8 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2026
•2026/3/24
0The role of monsoon-induced wave action in driving mangrove loss in deltaic settings remains underexplored in comparison with the role of anthropogenic activities. Here, we reveal that the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna Delta (GBMD), the world’s largest mangrove ecosystem within a monsoon-dominated regio...
BiogeographyEnvironmental impactGeographyTropical ecologyWetlands ecology
10.1038/S43247-026-03397-Z
ISSN:2662-4435
Poleward migration of tropical cyclones over 1980–2024 is dominated by Pacific variability
Wenyu Zhou•L. Ruby Leung•Chuan-Chieh Chang•Ming Zhao•Huang-Hsiung Hsu等 9 人
Nature Geoscience
2025
•2025/12/15
•00 p.1-10
Since 1980, tropical cyclones have migrated poleward, but it remains unclear whether this trend reflects long-term climate change or temporary climate variability. Here we investigate the drivers of this poleward migration using multiple observational datasets and global models that permit tropical ...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate and Earth system modelling
10.1038/S41561-025-01866-2
ISSN:1752-0894
Increasing temporal stability of global tropical cyclone precipitation
E Deng•Qian Xiang•Johnny C. L. Chan•Yue Dong•Shifei Tu等 7 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/1/10
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-9
Tropical cyclone (TC) precipitation has led to escalating urban flooding and transportation disruptions in recent years. The volatility of the TC rain rate (RR) over short periods complicates accurate forecasting. Here, we use satellite-based observational rainfall datasets from 1998 to 2019 to calc...
Atmospheric scienceClimate changeClimate sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-00896-2
ISSN:2397-3722
A global survey of stratospheric gravity waves generated by tropical cyclones
Xu Wang•Yuan Wang•Lifeng Zhang•Yun Zhang•Jiping Guan
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/7/23
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-11
The stratospheric gravity waves generated by tropical cyclones (TC-SGWs) are useful for the monitoring of tropical cyclones (TCs) and are also important for the gravity-wave parameterization in numerical models, as they represent a distinct type of gravity waves. Previous studies on TC-SGWs have not...
Atmospheric scienceClimate sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-01172-Z
ISSN:2397-3722
Uncertainties in tropical cyclone landfall decay
Chan Kelvin T. F.•Chan Johnny C. L.•Zhang Kailin•Wu Yue
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2022
•2022/11/17
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-8
Understanding the responses of landfalling tropical cyclones to a changing climate has been a topic of great interest and research. Among them, the recently reported slowdown of tropical cyclone landfall decay in a warming climate engenders controversy. Here, the global climatology of landfall decay...
Atmospheric scienceClimate change
10.1038/S41612-022-00320-Z
ISSN:2397-3722
Mechanism driving stronger tropical cyclones in cooler autumn than the hottest summer
Vineet Kumar Singh•Hye-Ji Kim•Il-Ju Moon
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/3/31
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-14
Warmer sea surface temperatures (SSTs) increase evaporation, convection, and latent heat release in the atmosphere, which favors tropical cyclone (TC) intensification and ultimately leads to stronger storms. However, in this study, we find that the intensity of TCs in the western North Pacific, call...
Atmospheric dynamicsPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41612-025-01008-W
ISSN:2397-3722
Hurricane influence on the oceanic eddies in the Gulf Stream region
Xinning Ni•Yu Zhang•Wei Wang
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/1/10
•Vol.16 No.1 p.1-9
The Gulf Stream region (GSR) represents an area of robust oceanic eddies, active hurricanes, and more importantly, frequent encounters between the two phenomena. However, the direct impact of the intense storms on the eddy field has seldom been comprehensively examined. Here based on a multi-year an...
Physical oceanography
10.1038/S41467-025-55927-6
ISSN:2041-1723
Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming
Chand Savin S.•Walsh Kevin J. E.•Camargo Suzana J.•Kossin James P.•Tory Kevin J.等 12 人
Nature Climate Change
2022
•2022/6/27
•Vol.12 No.7 p.655-661
Assessing the role of anthropogenic warming from temporally inhomogeneous historical data in the presence of large natural variability is difficult and has caused conflicting conclusions on detection and attribution of tropical cyclone (TC) trends. Here, using a reconstructed long-term proxy of annu...
Atmospheric scienceClimate change
10.1038/S41558-022-01388-4
ISSN:1758-678X
Global increase in destructive potential of extratropical transition events in response to greenhouse warming
Hung Ming Cheung•Jung-Eun Chu
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
•2023/9/9
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-10
When tropical cyclones (TCs) move to the mid-latitudes, they oftentimes undergo extratropical transition (ET) by which they lose their symmetry and warm-core characteristics. Upon transforming into extratropical cyclones (ETCs), they tend to impact larger areas and thus larger populations. In light ...
Atmospheric dynamicsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41612-023-00470-8
ISSN:2397-3722
Patterns and frequency of projected future tropical cyclone genesis are governed by dynamic effects
Murakami Hiroyuki•Wang Bin
Communications Earth & Environment
2022
•2022/4/1
•Vol.3 No.1 p.1-10
Potential future changes in the genesis frequency and distribution of tropical cyclones are important for society, yet uncertain. Confidence in the model projections largely relies on whether we can physically explain why the models projected such changes. Here we analyze multi-model climate simulat...
Atmospheric dynamicsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S43247-022-00410-Z
ISSN:2662-4435
Enhancing tropical cyclone track and intensity predictions with the OWZP-Transformer model
Zihao Lin•Jung-Eun Chu•Yoo-Geun Ham
Npj Artificial Intelligence
2025
•2025/11/3
•Vol.1 No.1 p.1-14
Tropical cyclones (TCs) pose significant risks in coastal region; however, traditional numerical models have struggled with forecasting TC intensity, especially rapid intensification (RI). Here we develop an OWZP-Transformer model which incorporates 15 input variables including the Okubo-Weiss-Zeta ...
Statistical physics, thermodynamics and nonlinear dynamicsTechniques and instrumentation
10.1038/S44387-025-00037-3
ISSN:3005-1460
Tropical cyclones act to intensify El Niño
Qiuyun Wang•Jianping Li•Fei-Fei Jin•Johnny C. L. Chan•Chunzai Wang等 13 人
Nature Communications
2019
•2019/8/22
•Vol.10 No.1 p.1-13
Tropical cyclones (TCs), some of the most influential weather events across the globe, are modulated by the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). However, little is known about the feedback of TCs on ENSO. Here, observational and modelling evidence shows that TC activity in the southeastern western N...
Atmospheric dynamicsOcean sciences
10.1038/S41467-019-11720-W
ISSN:2041-1723
Shrinking cold wakes accelerate tropical cyclone intensification in recent decades
Yufeng Zhou•Kaiyue Shan•Yanluan Lin
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/12/27
0Tropical cyclones (TCs) have intensified more rapidly in recent decades, with both the frequency and magnitude of rapid intensification (RI) events increasing. While rising sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are widely recognized as the primary driver behind the intensification trend, the contribution ...
Climate sciencesOcean sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-01300-9
ISSN:2397-3722
Seasonal variations of tropical cyclone genesis and landfall patterns impacting Southeast Asia in a warmer climate
Mackenzie M. Weaver•Andra J. Garner•Dhrubajyoti Samanta•Michael E. Mann•Benjamin P. Horton
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
•2025/11/3
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-16
Evolving tropical cyclone characteristics are expected to amplify coastal hazards in a warmer climate. Here, we investigated seasonal-scale tropical cyclone genesis and landfall patterns from >64,000 statistically-downscaled tropical cyclones that impact Southeast Asian coastlines from the histor...
Natural hazardsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S43247-025-02566-W
ISSN:2662-4435
How different is tropical cyclone precipitation over land and ocean?
Lihao Chen•Zhanhong Ma•Jianfang Fei
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/2/25
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-10
Tropical cyclone (TC) precipitation is a major cause of severe floods and landslides. This study compares the characteristics of TC precipitation over land and ocean in the Northern Hemisphere using satellite data from 2001 – 2020. An analog selection method is used to pair each landfalling TC case ...
Climate sciencesOcean sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-00970-9
ISSN:2397-3722
Unusual role of positive Indian Ocean Dipole in the record-low tropical cyclone genesis over the Western North Pacific in 2023
Xi Luo•Lei Zhang•Johnny C. L. Chan•Weiqing Han•Xin Wang等 8 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/9/2
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-8
The number of tropical cyclones (TCs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) dropped to a record low in 2023, with less than 40% forming during the boreal autumn. While a strong El Niño, positive Indian Ocean Dipole (pIOD), and strong tropical North Atlantic warming coexisted, their relative contribut...
Atmospheric dynamicsPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41612-025-01206-6
ISSN:2397-3722
Poleward migration of western North Pacific tropical cyclones driven by genesis location shift under global warming in HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA models
Mingyu Li•Chaoxia Yuan•Jiuwei Zhao•Qingqing Li
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/8/22
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-13
The latitudinal position of lifetime maximum intensity ( $${\varphi }_{{LMI}}$$ ) of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific (WNP) has been observed to migrate poleward over the last several decades, but the cause remains not fully understood. In this study, we utilized 20 models from t...
Climate sciencesEnvironmental sciencesOcean sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-01194-7
ISSN:2397-3722
Do rapidly and non-rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones represent two different dynamical regimes
John L. McBride•Lichun Tang•Zifeng Yu•Klaus Fraedrich
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2026
•2026/1/21
•Vol.9 No.1 p.570
Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones (TCs) poses a major challenge in intensity forecasting and is a key contributor to the observed bimodal distribution of cyclone peak intensities. However, it remains unclear whether RI represents a distinct dynamical process. Here, we use lag plot (pha...
Climate sciencesNatural hazards
10.1038/S41612-026-01329-4
ISSN:2397-3722
Global blue carbon losses from salt marshes exceed restoration gains
Yuhan Zheng•Qutu Jiang•Qiang He•Xiangming Xiao•Peter I. Macreadie等 14 人
Nature Communications
2026
•2026/4/24
•Vol.17 No.1 p.37440
Salt marsh soil organic carbon (SOC) is a key blue carbon pool affected by both disturbance and restoration; yet its long-term global dynamics remains poorly understood. Here we provide the global assessment of surface SOC changes in salt marshes from 2002 to 2019, combining multi-source remote sens...
Carbon cycleClimate-change mitigation
10.1038/S41467-026-70158-Z
ISSN:2041-1723
The impact of solar elevation angle on the net radiative effect of tropical cyclone clouds
Liang Hu•Dae-Hui Kim•J. Scott Tyo•Elizabeth A. Ritchie
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/2/22
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-5
In this study solar elevation angle is shown to have a dominant impact on the net radiation due to tropical cyclone (TC) clouds. As solar elevation angle increases, net cooling effects from TC clouds dominate over net warming effects. From 2001 to 2020, the radiative effect of TC clouds remained sta...
Atmospheric scienceClimate change
10.1038/S41612-025-00964-7
ISSN:2397-3722
Predictability of tropical cyclone track density in S2S reforecast
Chi Lok Loi•Kai-Chih Tseng•Chun-Chieh Wu
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/1/18
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-16
In this study, we examine the predictability of tropical cyclone (TC) track density in the subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) reforecast ensembles of the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) using the method of average predictability time (APT). Eleven of the retrieved APT modes (AP...
Atmospheric dynamicsAtmospheric science
10.1038/S41612-025-00909-0
ISSN:2397-3722
Atmospheric modes fiddling the simulated ENSO impact on tropical cyclone genesis over the Northwest Pacific
Jiuwei Zhao•Ruifen Zhan•Hiroyuki Murakami•Yuqing Wang•Shang-Ping Xie等 7 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
•2023/12/19
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-12
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is crucial to the interannual variability of tropical cyclone (TC) genesis over the western North Pacific (WNP). However, most state-of-the-art climate models exhibit a consistent pattern of uncertainty in the simulated TC genesis frequency (TCGF) over the WNP...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate and Earth system modelling
10.1038/S41612-023-00537-6
ISSN:2397-3722
Strengthening cold wakes lead to decreasing trend of tropical cyclone rainfall rates relative to background environmental rainfall rates
Zhanhong Ma•Yanluan Lin•Jianfang Fei•Yunxia Zheng•Wenchao Chu等 6 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
•2023/9/5
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-8
Tropical cyclone (TC) rainfall is an important component of global precipitation. Based on a 22-year satellite-based record of observed precipitation from 1998 to 2019, we find that composite rainfall rates averaged within 500 km of TCs have increased. However, the background precipitation rate in t...
Atmospheric dynamicsPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41612-023-00460-W
ISSN:2397-3722
Global expansion of tropical cyclone precipitation footprint
Lianjie Qin•Laiyin Zhu•Baoyin Liu•Zixuan Li•Yugang Tian等 9 人
Nature Communications
2024
•2024/6/6
•Vol.15 No.1 p.1-10
Precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) can cause massive damage from inland floods and is becoming more intense under a warming climate. However, knowledge gaps still exist in changes of spatial patterns in heavy TC precipitation. Here we define a metric, DIST30, as the mean radial distance from...
Climate changeNatural hazards
10.1038/S41467-024-49115-1
ISSN:2041-1723
The hurricane-induced decay of mesoscale eddies: an energy source for near-inertial waves
Qianqian Ren•Yu Zhang•Wei Wang
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
•2025/12/27
0Oceanic mesoscale eddies represent the most energetic component of the ocean circulation; however, their decay routes remain elusive, leaving a key gap in our understanding of the oceanic energy cascade. Here we combine satellite data with mooring measurements from the South China Sea in 2014 to rev...
Ocean sciencesPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S43247-025-03113-3
ISSN:2662-4435
Shortened intensification duration offsets the increase of tropical cyclone lifetime maximum intensity
Yufeng Zhou•Yanluan Lin
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/12/24
0The bimodal distribution of tropical cyclone (TC) lifetime maximum intensity (LMI) has strengthened in recent decades, yet the mechanisms underlying this distribution and its recent changes remain debated. Here, we introduce a rate-duration framework that decomposes LMI into two fundamental componen...
Climate sciencesEnvironmental sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-01295-3
ISSN:2397-3722
Increase in Cape Verde hurricanes during Atlantic Niño
Dongmin Kim•Sang-Ki Lee•Hosmay Lopez•Gregory R. Foltz•Caihong Wen等 7 人
Nature Communications
2023
•2023/6/22
•Vol.14 No.1 p.1-8
At seasonal-to-interannual timescales, Atlantic hurricane activity is greatly modulated by El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Meridional Mode. However, those climate modes develop predominantly in boreal winter or spring and are weaker during the Atlantic hurricane season (June–November)....
Atmospheric dynamicsAtmospheric scienceNatural hazards
10.1038/S41467-023-39467-5
ISSN:2041-1723
Decreasing trend in destructive potential of tropical cyclones in the South Indian Ocean since the mid-1990s
Shifei Tu•Zhenzhen Hu•Mei Liang•Wen Zhou•Johnny C. L. Chan等 6 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
•2024/9/30
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-10
Tropical cyclone activity often leads to many adverse impacts and assessing their destructiveness is a crucial scientific concern. Here we investigated changes in the destructiveness of tropical cyclones worldwide using the power dissipation index and found that there is no clear trend in most basin...
Atmospheric scienceNatural hazards
10.1038/S43247-024-01683-2
ISSN:2662-4435
Philippine archipelago and South China Sea monsoon plus ocean cooling buffer Northwestern Pacific super typhoons
Tian Ma•Wei-Dong Yu•Sabrina Speich•Hai-Kun Zhao•Rui Xin等 7 人
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/8/11
•Vol.16 No.1 p.1-11
In dramatic contrast to the continuous intensification of strong Atlantic hurricanes moving into the Gulf of Mexico, super typhoons (SuperTYs) originating from the Northwest Pacific significantly weaken after entering the South China Sea (SCS). Using an idealized cyclone intensity model, we show tha...
Atmospheric dynamicsNatural hazardsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-025-62334-4
ISSN:2041-1723