GLEAM4.2 datasets
English
Japan, Tokyo
Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam Model
数据描述
General GLEAM provides data of the different components of land evaporation (or 'evapotranspiration’): transpiration, bare-soil evaporation, interception loss, open-water evaporation and sublimation, in addition to other related variables such as surface and root-zone soil moisture, sensible heat flux, potential evaporation and evaporative stress conditions The Penman equation in GLEAM calculates potential evaporation (Ep) using observations of surface net radiation (Rn), near-surface air temperature (Ta), wind speed (u ), leaf area index (LAI), and vapor pressure deficit (VPD). Estimates of Ep for bare soil, tall canopy, and short canopy land fractions are converted into bare soil evaporation (Eb) and transpiration (Et) using a multiplicative evaporative stress factor (S ) derived from deep neural networks trained on global eddy-covariance and sapflow data. GLEAM4 datasets are described in detail by Miralles et al. (2025) GLEAM4.2 datasets GLEAM4 includes the following variables: Actual evaporation (E ) Transpiration (Et) Interception loss (Ei) Soil evaporation (Eb) Snow sublimation (Es) Surface condensation (Ec) Open-water evaporation (Ew) Potential evaporation (Ep) Evaporative stress (S ) Root-zone soil moisture (SMrz) Surface soil moisture (SMs) Sensible heat flux (H ) Two data archives differing in terms of forcing and temporal coverage: GLEAM4.2a: global dataset spanning the 44-year period from 1980 (January 1st) to 2023 (December 31st). The dataset is based on satellite and reanalysis data GLEAM4.2b (soon to be available): global dataset spanning the 21-year period from 2003 (January 1st) to 2023 (December 31st). The dataset is based on satellite data
www.gleam.eu
IP: 18.181.31.166
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Yangyang Jing•Shuo Wang•Pak Wai Chan•Zong-Liang Yang
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
•2025/1/17
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-10
Flash droughts, characterized by their rapid onset, substantially affect terrestrial ecosystems. However, the sensitivity of ecosystem productivity to the rapid development of flash droughts under varying vegetation conditions remains poorly understood. Here we investigate the ecosystem response to ...
Environmental sciencesHydrology
10.1038/S43247-025-02013-W
ISSN:2662-4435
Targeted tropical forest restoration can offset deforestation-induced water flux losses
Shuai Ma•Sha Zhou•David Ellison•Arie Staal•Taylor Smith等 7 人
Nature Climate Change
2026
•2026/7/15
•00 p.1-9
Tropical forest restoration is increasingly promoted as a nature-based solution for climate change mitigation, yet its capacity to reverse the hydrological impacts of deforestation remains unclear. Here we show forest gain increases evapotranspiration and precipitation more than forest loss reduces ...
Forest ecologyHydrology
10.1038/S41558-026-02709-7
ISSN:1758-678X
Drought propagation as a nonlinear amplifier of ecohydrological damage
Zhuoran Qu•Xiaoyan Li•Josep Peñuelas•Deliang Chen•Chiyuan Miao等 8 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2026
•2026/2/27
•Vol.7 No.1 p.3190
Meteorological drought can propagate to soil and ecological droughts, triggering cascading disruptions in ecosystem functioning. However, whether the ecohydrological damage—the sum of standardized vegetation greenness and soil moisture losses—is disproportionately amplified through drought propagati...
HydrologyMacroecology
10.1038/S43247-026-03330-4
ISSN:2662-4435
Increased risk of flash droughts with raised concurrent hot and dry extremes under global warming
Zhaoqi Zeng•Wenxiang Wu•Josep Peñuelas•Yamei Li•Wenzhe Jiao等 9 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
•2023/9/7
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-12
Flash droughts pose large threats to crop yields and ecosystem services due to their sudden onset and rapid intensification, arousing wide public concern in a warming climate. Their long-term characteristics of change, underlying mechanisms, and especially potential impacts on agriculture, forests, ...
Environmental healthHydrology
10.1038/S41612-023-00468-2
ISSN:2397-3722
Enhancing sub-seasonal soil moisture forecasts through land initialization
Yanan Duan•Sanjiv Kumar•Montasir Maruf•Thomas M. Kavoo•Imtiaz Rangwala等 11 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/3/12
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-13
We assess the relative contributions of land, atmosphere, and oceanic initializations to the forecast skill of root zone soil moisture (SM) utilizing the Community Earth System Model version 2 Sub to Seasonal climate forecast experiments (CESM2-S2S). Using eight sensitivity experiments, we disentang...
Atmospheric dynamicsHydrology
10.1038/S41612-025-00987-0
ISSN:2397-3722
Anthropogenic enhancement of subsurface soil moisture droughts
Yansong Guan•Xihui Gu•Aiguo Dai•Tianjun Zhou•Xing Yuan等 15 人
Nature Climate Change
2025
•2025/11/14
•00 p.1-8
Anthropogenic climate change has exacerbated soil moisture droughts globally, yet this exacerbation in their spatiotemporal evolution in terms of soil vertical structure remains unclear. Here we propose a Lagrangian four-dimensional tracking framework to identify a type of spatial (horizontal and ve...
AttributionHydrology
10.1038/S41558-025-02458-Z
ISSN:1758-678X
Global greening drives significant soil moisture loss
Yongchang Liu•Zhi Li•Yaning Chen•Liangning Jin•Feng Li等 9 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
•2025/7/28
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-15
Vegetation dynamics, as fundamental terrestrial ecosystem components, regulate precipitation and evapotranspiration, directly affecting soil moisture (SM). However, global greening’s impact on SM (drying or wetting) remains uncertain. Here, we integrate multi-source satellite observations, reanalysi...
Climate and Earth system modellingClimate-change impacts
10.1038/S43247-025-02470-3
ISSN:2662-4435
The composite effects of air pollution on yield
Qiang Fang•Yanan Huang•Ashbindu Singh•John. J. Qu•Xianjun Hao等 6 人
Npj Sustainable Agriculture
2026
•2026/4/13
•Vol.4 No.1 p.360
Air pollution effects on Indian kharif crop yields remain poorly understood. Integrating satellite observations, model assimilations, and agricultural statistics (2001–2017), this study evaluates the direct and interactive impacts of Ndep, O3, and PM2.5. Ndep increased yields (4.77%), while O3 (5.59...
Climate sciencesEnvironmental sciences
10.1038/S44264-026-00152-X
ISSN:2731-9202
Regional asymmetry in the response of global vegetation growth to springtime compound climate events
Li Jun•Bevacqua Emanuele•Chen Chi•Wang Zhaoli•Chen Xiaohong等 10 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2022
•2022/5/30
•Vol.3 No.1 p.1-9
Compound climate events can strongly impact vegetation productivity, yet the direct and lagged vegetation productivity responses to seasonal compound warm-dry and cold-dry events remain unclear. Here we use observationally-constrained and process-based model data and analyze vegetation productivity ...
EcologyHydrology
10.1038/S43247-022-00455-0
ISSN:2662-4435
Winter snow as a skillful indicator for spring wildfire in Northeast Asia
Meng Meng•Yunfei Lan•Daoyi Gong•Neng Luo•Ziyin Zhang等 7 人
Npj Natural Hazards
2025
•2025/8/6
•Vol.2 No.1 p.780
Wildfire in Northeastern Asia presents significant challenges to climate, ecosystems, and socio-economic systems. Here, we investigate the influence of preceding winter snow on spring wildfires in Northeastern Asia. Our results reveal soil moisture serves as a key mediator linking winter snow to spr...
ForestryProjection and prediction
10.1038/S44304-025-00118-Y
ISSN:2948-2100
The spatial extent of heat waves has changed over the past four decades
Christopher B. Skinner•Danielle Touma•Mathew Barlow•Deepti Singh•Troy King
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
•2025/8/14
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-13
The spatial extent of an extreme heat event influences the total exposure of people and natural systems to heat-related stresses, straining water, energy, and emergency management resources. Here, we quantify how the contiguous area of individual heat wave events varies across heat wave types, time ...
Atmospheric scienceClimate change
10.1038/S43247-025-02661-Y
ISSN:2662-4435
Wetland emission and atmospheric sink changes explain methane growth in 2020
Peng Shushi•Lin Xin•Thompson Rona L.•Xi Yi•Liu Gang等 14 人
Nature
2022
•2022/12/14
•Vol.612 No.7940 p.477-482
Atmospheric methane growth reached an exceptionally high rate of 15.1 ± 0.4 parts per billion per year in 2020 despite a probable decrease in anthropogenic methane emissions during COVID-19 lockdowns1. Here we quantify changes in methane sources and in its atmospheric sink in 2020 compared with 2019...
Atmospheric chemistryBiogeochemistryCarbon cycleClimate change
10.1038/S41586-022-05447-W
ISSN:0028-0836
Aridity threshold of ecological restoration mitigated atmospheric drought via land‒atmosphere coupling in drylands
Yu Zhang•Xiaoming Feng•Chaowei Zhou•Chuanlian Sun•Xuejing Leng等 6 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
•2024/7/16
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-11
Land‒atmosphere coupling intensifies the vulnerability of ecosystems in drylands. However, whether and how ecological restoration would modify the land‒atmosphere coupling across drylands remains unclear. To address these gaps, here we use structural equation model to separate two pathways of land‒a...
Climate-change ecologyClimate-change mitigationRestoration ecology
10.1038/S43247-024-01555-9
ISSN:2662-4435
Accelerating flash droughts induced by the joint influence of soil moisture depletion and atmospheric aridity
Qing Yamin•Wang Shuo•Ancell Brian C.•Yang Zong-Liang
Nature Communications
2022
•2022/3/3
•Vol.13 No.1 p.1-10
The emergence of flash drought has attracted widespread attention due to its rapid onset. However, little is known about the recent evolution of flash droughts in terms of the speed of onset and the causes of such a rapid onset phase of flash droughts. Here, we present a comprehensive assessment of ...
Climate sciencesHydrologyNatural hazards
10.1038/S41467-022-28752-4
ISSN:2041-1723
Historical deforestation drives strong rainfall decline across the southern Amazon basin
Jiangpeng Cui•Shilong Piao•Chris Huntingford•Tao Wang•Dominick V. Spracklen
Nature Communications
2026
•2026/1/13
•Vol.17 No.1 p.16420
The Amazon forest has recently experienced substantial human-induced loss of forest cover. However, the extent to which such historical deforestation has altered regional observed precipitation through inter-regional atmospheric moisture transport remains unclear. Here, we combine satellite observat...
Atmospheric scienceHydrology
10.1038/S41467-026-68361-Z
ISSN:2041-1723
Recent significant drying in Central Congo Basin linked to weakened Walker circulation and warmer Atlantic
Sly Wongchuig•Fabrice Papa•Ayan Santos Fleischmann•Juan Pablo Sierra•Julien Boucharel等 12 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/10/21
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-15
The Congo River Basin (CRB), hosting the second-largest tropical forest on Earth, is of global significance for the water and carbon cycles. Its population and ecosystems are also strongly dependent on freshwater availability, which is increasingly threatened by current climate change and deforestat...
Atmospheric dynamicsEnvironmental impactGovernanceHydrologyWater resources
10.1038/S41612-025-01225-3
ISSN:2397-3722
Accelerated soil drying linked to increasing evaporative demand in wet regions
Yamin Qing•Shuo Wang•Zong-Liang Yang•Pierre Gentine•Boen Zhang等 6 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
•2023/12/8
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-10
The rapid decline in soil water affects water resources, plant physiology, and agricultural development. However, the changes in soil drying rate and associated climatic mechanisms behind such changes remain poorly understood. Here, we find that wet regions have witnessed a significant increasing tr...
Climate sciencesHydrology
10.1038/S41612-023-00531-Y
ISSN:2397-3722
Gaps and ways forward in atmospheric blocking and extreme weather research
Lei Wang•Jian Lu•Melissa L. Breeden•Gang Chen•Stephanie A. Henderson等 10 人
Nature Communications
2026
•2026/3/24
•Vol.17 No.1 p.28730
Atmospheric blocking often results in significant weather extremes and associated impacts such as heatwaves, droughts, wildfires, cold spells, and floods in mid-latitude regions. However, the physical processes behind blocking and associated extreme weather events are not well understood, hampering ...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate and Earth system modellingProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-026-70487-Z
ISSN:2041-1723
Hydroclimatic extremes contribute to asymmetric trends in ecosystem productivity loss
Jun Li•Emanuele Bevacqua•Zhaoli Wang•Stephen Sitch•Vivek Arora等 10 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2023
•2023/6/2
•Vol.4 No.1 p.1-10
Gross primary production is the basis of global carbon uptake. Gross primary production losses are often related to hydroclimatic extremes such as droughts and heatwaves, but the trend of such losses driven by hydroclimatic extremes remains unclear. Using observationally-constrained and process-base...
Carbon cycle
10.1038/S43247-023-00869-4
ISSN:2662-4435
Diminishing control of evaporation on rising land surface temperature of the Earth
Jozsef Szilagyi•Yongqiang Zhang•Ning Ma•Richard D. Crago•Russell J. Qualls等 6 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
•2024/10/22
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-8
Evaporation rates and land surface temperatures can be modified by planned water availability as well as land use and land cover changes. In general, a higher evaporation rate via its associated latent heat flux yields a cooler surface. Here we demonstrate that increasing energy at the land surface ...
Climate sciencesHydrology
10.1038/S43247-024-01796-8
ISSN:2662-4435
Observational evidence of compensatory influences of deforestation on downwind precipitation in Brazilian breadbaskets
Hao Li•Damián Insua-Costa•Akash Koppa•João Lucas Geirinhas•Jessica Keune等 10 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/7/23
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-10
Stable and predictable wet-season rainfall is crucial for soybean production in Brazil. However, climate and land-use changes, particularly Amazon deforestation, have increased rainfall variability in the region in recent decades. Here, we investigate long-term growing-season rainfall changes over t...
AgricultureClimate changeClimate sciencesEnvironmental impactForestryHydrology+1
10.1038/S41612-025-01152-3
ISSN:2397-3722
Reply to ‘Increases in temperature do not translate to increased flooding’
Jiabo Yin•Pierre Gentine•Shenglian Guo•Sha Zhou•Sylvia C. Sullivan等 8 人
Nature Communications
2019
•2019/12/12
•Vol.10 No.1 p.1-5
Climate changeHydrologyNatural hazards
10.1038/S41467-019-13613-4
ISSN:2041-1723
Amplified seasonal cycle in hydroclimate over the Amazon river basin and its plume region
Yu-Chiao Liang•Min-Hui Lo•Chia-Wei Lan•Hyodae Seo•Caroline C. Ummenhofer等 8 人
Nature Communications
2020
•2020/9/1
•Vol.11 No.1 p.1-11
The Amazon river basin receives ~2000 mm of precipitation annually and contributes ~17% of global river freshwater input to the oceans; its hydroclimatic variations can exert profound impacts on the marine ecosystem in the Amazon plume region (APR) and have potential far-reaching influences on hydro...
Climate sciencesHydrology
10.1038/S41467-020-18187-0
ISSN:2041-1723
Amplification of mega-heatwaves through heat torrents fuelled by upwind drought
Dominik L. Schumacher•Jessica Keune•Chiel C. van Heerwaarden•Jordi Vilà-Guerau de Arellano•Adriaan J. Teuling等 6 人
Nature Geoscience
2019
•2019/8/19
•Vol.12 No.9 p.712-717
Mega-heatwaves are among the deadliest natural disasters in midlatitudes. During such events, the atmospheric circulation is typically governed by persistent anticyclones, enabling cloud-free conditions and advection of hot air. Dry soils in heatwave regions are also known to further contribute to t...
Climate-change impactsHydrologyNatural hazards
10.1038/S41561-019-0431-6
ISSN:1752-0894
Warming overwhelms CO2-driven drought mitigation in alpine vegetation on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau
He Lyu•Xueqian Zhang•Jian Su•David Wårlind•Jürgen Knauer等 17 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2026
•2026/2/21
•Vol.7 No.1 p.2930
Droughts have intensified under climate change, threatening ecosystem stability. While rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations may enhance vegetation drought resistance, the net effect remains uncertain amid concurrent warming. Here we combine ecological modeling with multi-source observations to inve...
Climate-change impactsEcological modelling
10.1038/S43247-026-03308-2
ISSN:2662-4435
Temperature thresholds of extreme heat-induced yield loss in maize and soybean reveal geographic heterogeneity across the Northern Hemisphere
Quanbo Zhao•Chenzhi Wang•Xuhui Wang•Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei•Christoph Müller等 22 人
Nature Food
2026
•2026/2/18
•Vol.7 No.2 p.194-205
Exposure to extreme high temperatures is a major constraint on global crop productivity, yet most large-scale assessments rely on fixed temperature thresholds that overlook regional variation in genetics, environment and management. Consequently, the temperature thresholds at which heat exposure beg...
AgroecologyClimate change
10.1038/S43016-026-01298-0
ISSN:2662-1355
Warming-independent shortened snow cover duration enhances vegetation greening across northern permafrost region
Ning Chen•Xianwei Wang•Fenghui Yuan•Yanyu Song•Li Sun等 12 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
•2025/4/1
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-11
Reduced snow cover is becoming increasingly common in the Arctic-Boreal region under amplified warming, complicating efforts to isolate its specific impacts on plant productivity during the subsequent snow-free seasons. Here, we compiled a multi-source remote sensing dataset to disentangle the effec...
Carbon cycleClimate-change impactsEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43247-025-02211-6
ISSN:2662-4435
Spring biomass burning in Indochina enhances summer Yangtze River Valley rainfall through land–atmosphere interactions
Jiangfeng Wei•Qianqian Mao•Yufeng Shan•Qinjian Jin•Yang Yang等 6 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
•2023/11/10
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-9
Indochina is one of the regions with the most severe biomass burning (BB) in the world, which produces enormous amounts of atmospheric aerosols, mostly in spring. Moreover, the spring soil moisture anomalies in Indochina have been found to have a significant influence on the summer rainfall in the Y...
Atmospheric scienceEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S41612-023-00514-Z
ISSN:2397-3722
Land–atmosphere feedbacks contribute to crop failure in global rainfed breadbaskets
Hao Li•Jessica Keune•Femke Smessaert•Raquel Nieto•Luis Gimeno等 6 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
•2023/5/29
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-9
Global crop yields are highly dependent on climate variability, with the largest agricultural failures frequently occurring during extremely dry and hot years. Land–atmosphere feedbacks are thought to play a crucial role in agricultural productivity during such events: precipitation deficits cause s...
AgroecologyAtmospheric dynamicsClimate-change mitigation
10.1038/S41612-023-00375-6
ISSN:2397-3722
A pronounced decline in northern vegetation resistance to flash droughts from 2001 to 2022
Miao Zhang•Xing Yuan•Zhenzhong Zeng•Ming Pan•Peili Wu等 7 人
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/3/27
•Vol.16 No.1 p.1-10
Climate change has led to the transition of droughts into rapid and intensified phenomena known as flash droughts, presenting considerable challenges for risk management, particularly concerning their impact on ecosystem productivity. Quantifying the ecosystem’s capacity to maintain productivity dur...
Climate-change ecologyClimate sciencesHydrology
10.1038/S41467-025-58253-Z
ISSN:2041-1723
A westward shift of heatwave hotspots caused by warming-enhanced land–air coupling
Kaiwen Zhang•Zhiyan Zuo•Wei Mei•Renhe Zhang•Aiguo Dai
Nature Climate Change
2025
•2025/3/20
•00 p.1-8
Heatwaves pose serious risks to human health and lives, but how their occurrence patterns may change under global warming remains unclear. Here we reveal a systematic westward shift of heatwave hotspots across the northern mid-latitudes around the late 1990s. Both observational analysis and numerica...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate-change impacts
10.1038/S41558-025-02302-4
ISSN:1758-678X
Past and future adverse response of terrestrial water storages to increased vegetation growth in drylands
Kai Liu•Xueke Li•Shudong Wang•Guangsheng Zhou
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
•2023/8/11
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-12
The response of terrestrial water storages to dryland vegetation growth remains poorly understood. Using multiple proxies from satellite observations and model outputs, we show an overall increase (decrease) in vegetation growth (terrestrial water storages) across drylands globally during 1982–2016....
Environmental sciencesHydrology
10.1038/S41612-023-00437-9
ISSN:2397-3722
Trends in the seasonal amplitude of atmospheric methane
Gang Liu•Lu Shen•Philippe Ciais•Xin Lin•Didier Hauglustaine等 10 人
Nature
2025
•2025/5/7
•00 p.1-6
Methane is an important greenhouse gas1 and its atmospheric concentration has almost tripled since pre-industrial times2–4. Atmospheric methane mixing ratios vary seasonally, with the seasonal cycle amplitude (SCA) having decreased in northern high latitudes and increased in the subtropics and tropi...
BiogeochemistryClimate sciences
10.1038/S41586-025-08900-8
ISSN:0028-0836
Widespread increasing vegetation sensitivity to soil moisture
Li Wantong•Migliavacca Mirco•Forkel Matthias•Denissen Jasper M. C.•Reichstein Markus等 9 人
Nature Communications
2022
•2022/7/8
•Vol.13 No.1 p.1-9
Global vegetation and associated ecosystem services critically depend on soil moisture availability which has decreased in many regions during the last three decades. While spatial patterns of vegetation sensitivity to global soil water have been recently investigated, long-term changes in vegetatio...
Carbon cycleClimate changeEcology
10.1038/S41467-022-31667-9
ISSN:2041-1723
Seasonal biological carryover dominates northern vegetation growth
Xu Lian•Shilong Piao•Anping Chen•Kai Wang•Xiangyi Li等 10 人
Nature Communications
2021
•2021/2/12
•Vol.12 No.1 p.1-10
The state of ecosystems is influenced strongly by their past, and describing this carryover effect is important to accurately forecast their future behaviors. However, the strength and persistence of this carryover effect on ecosystem dynamics in comparison to that of simultaneous environmental driv...
Carbon cycleClimate-change ecology
10.1038/S41467-021-21223-2
ISSN:2041-1723
Intensive irrigation buffers groundwater declines in key European breadbasket
Grace Carlson•Christian Massari•Marco Rotiroti•Tullia Bonomi•Elisabetta Preziosi等 8 人
Nature Water
2025
•2025/5/19
•00 p.1-10
The Po Plain in northern Italy is a critical agricultural region and one of the largest water users in the European Union. Recent dry conditions have put future water resource availability into question. This study examines spatio-temporal variations in groundwater storage observed by the Gravity Re...
HydrologyWater resources
10.1038/S44221-025-00445-4
ISSN:2731-6084
Continuous increase in evaporative demand shortened the growing season of European ecosystems in the last decade
Mehdi Rahmati•Alexander Graf•Christian Poppe Terán•Wulf Amelung•Wouter Dorigo等 12 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2023
•2023/7/3
•Vol.4 No.1 p.1-11
Despite previous reports on European growing seasons lengthening due to global warming, evidence shows that this trend has been reversing in the past decade due to increased transpiration needs. To asses this, we used an innovative method along with space-based observations to determine the tim...
Climate-change ecologyEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43247-023-00890-7
ISSN:2662-4435
Skillful subseasonal soil moisture drought forecasts with deep learning-dynamic models
Kyle Lesinger•Di Tian
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/8/12
•Vol.16 No.1 p.1-17
Deep neural networks that learn from climate reanalysis data have produced skillful weather forecasts within ten days. However, it is still a great challenge for dynamic models to predict soil moisture, droughts, and other extreme events with lead times beyond two weeks. Here, we combine a recursive...
Climate and Earth system modellingHydrologyProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-025-62761-3
ISSN:2041-1723
Drought self-propagation in drylands due to land–atmosphere feedbacks
Schumacher Dominik L.•Keune Jessica•Dirmeyer Paul•Miralles Diego G.
Nature Geoscience
2022
•2022/3/17
•00 p.1-7
Reduced evaporation due to dry soils can affect the land surface energy balance, with implications for local and downwind precipitation. When evaporation is constrained by soil moisture, the atmospheric supply of water is depleted, and this deficit may propagate in time and space. This mechanism cou...
Atmospheric scienceClimate sciencesHydrologyNatural hazards
10.1038/S41561-022-00912-7
ISSN:1752-0894
Seasonal stabilization effects slowed the greening of the Northern Hemisphere over the last two decades
Wen Zhang•William K. Smith•Trevor F. Keenan•Matthew P. Dannenberg•Yang Li等 8 人
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/7/8
•Vol.16 No.1 p.1-11
Rising atmospheric CO₂ and warming spring temperatures increase vegetation growth and the terrestrial carbon sink. However, drought, heat stress, phenology, and resource limitations may stabilize or limit theses projected increases. We investigate the balance between these amplifying and stabilizing...
Climate-change ecologyEcosystem ecology
10.1038/S41467-025-61308-W
ISSN:2041-1723
Declining precipitation frequency may drive earlier leaf senescence by intensifying drought stress and enhancing drought acclimation
Xinyi Zhang•Xiaoyue Wang•Constantin M. Zohner•Josep Peñuelas•Yang Li等 16 人
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/1/21
•Vol.16 No.1 p.1-9
Precipitation is an important factor influencing the date of foliar senescence, which in turn affects carbon uptake of terrestrial ecosystems. However, the temporal patterns of precipitation frequency and its impact on foliar senescence date remain largely unknown. Using both long-term carbon flux d...
Climate and Earth system modellingClimate-change impactsEcological modellingPhenology
10.1038/S41467-025-56159-4
ISSN:2041-1723
Ecological restoration reverses terrestrial water storage losses in the Mu Us Sandyland in China
Hao Zhou•Yilin Sun•Jianli Chen•Qing He•Hanwen Hu等 8 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
•2025/12/21
0Large-scale ecological restoration has enhanced ecosystem services, but its impacts on terrestrial water storage (TWS) remain debated. Our study challenges the prevailing assumption that restoration activities inevitably reduce TWS. Here we construct a long-term TWS record (1987-2020) to analyze hyd...
GeophysicsHydrology
10.1038/S43247-025-03101-7
ISSN:2662-4435
Human-induced intensification of terrestrial water cycle in dry regions of the globe
Yansong Guan•Xihui Gu•Louise J. Slater•Xueying Li•Jianfeng Li等 9 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
•2024/2/23
•Vol.7 No.1 p.1-12
Anthropogenic climate change (ACC) strengthens the global terrestrial water cycle (TWC) through increases in annual total precipitation (PRCPTOT) over global land. While the increase in the average global terrestrial PRCPTOT has been attributed to ACC, it is unclear whether this is equally true in d...
AttributionHydrology
10.1038/S41612-024-00590-9
ISSN:2397-3722
Energy-mediated feedbacks of vegetation greening enhance precipitation efficiency and sustain water yield in global semi-arid regions
Lei Tian•Yuting Yang•Jiewen Feng•Yao Li•Baoqing Zhang
Nature Water
2026
•2026/4/17
•00 p.1-12
Vegetation greening is often expected to increase evapotranspiration and reduce streamflow, implying a trade-off between ecosystem restoration and water supply. Here, using global hydrological observations from over 4,000 catchments and coupled land–atmosphere simulations, we find that nearly half o...
Hydrology
10.1038/S44221-026-00631-Y
ISSN:2731-6084
Global net increase in surface water connectivity in river–floodplain systems
Qiuqi Luo•Lian Feng•Edward Park•Des E. Walling•Lei Huang等 9 人
Nature Geoscience
2026
•2026/4/2
•00 p.1-9
Surface water connectivity in river–floodplain systems—the flow exchange between river channels and their surrounding floodplains—is a regulator of global water cycles, biogeochemical fluxes, geomorphology and ecosystem health. However, global assessments of its spatial and temporal patterns remain ...
HydrologyLimnology
10.1038/S41561-026-01953-Y
ISSN:1752-0894
Vegetation-based climate mitigation in a warmer and greener World
Alkama Ramdane•Forzieri Giovanni•Duveiller Gregory•Grassi Giacomo•Liang Shunlin等 6 人
Nature Communications
2022
•2022/2/1
•Vol.13 No.1 p.1-10
The mitigation potential of vegetation-driven biophysical effects is strongly influenced by the background climate and will therefore be influenced by global warming. Based on an ensemble of remote sensing datasets, here we first estimate the temperature sensitivities to changes in leaf area over th...
Carbon cycleClimate and Earth system modellingClimate-change mitigationClimate-change policyProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-022-28305-9
ISSN:2041-1723
Anthropogenically-driven escalating impact of soil-based compound dry-hot extremes on vegetation productivity
Yani Liang•Jun Wang•Zengchao Hao•Huanjiong Wang•Huijuan Cui等 6 人
Nature Communications
2026
•2026/2/3
•Vol.17 No.1 p.23030
Compound dry-hot extremes exert stronger environmental impacts than individual dry or hot extremes. While evidence for increasing meteorological compound dry-hot extremes (defined using surface air temperature and vapor pressure deficit or precipitation) is growing, the impacts and evolving risks of...
AttributionCarbon cycleEcosystem ecologyNatural hazardsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-026-68878-3
ISSN:2041-1723
Dominant role of soil moisture in mediating carbon and water fluxes in dryland ecosystems
Steven A. Kannenberg•William R. L. Anderegg•Mallory L. Barnes•Matthew P. Dannenberg•Alan K. Knapp
Nature Geoscience
2024
•2024/1/4
•00 p.1-6
Drylands exert a strong influence over global interannual variability in carbon and water cycling due to their substantial heterogeneity over space and time. This variability in ecosystem fluxes presents challenges for understanding their primary drivers. Here we quantify the sensitivity of dryland ...
Carbon cycleClimate sciencesEcosystem ecology
10.1038/S41561-023-01351-8
ISSN:1752-0894
Urgent need to improve modelled sensitivity of evaporation to vegetation change
Dashan Wang•Zhenzhong Zeng
Nature Water
2024
•2024/2/19
•Vol.2 No.3 p.211-214
Earth system model projections of vegetation–climate feedback frequently depend on inaccurate values of evaporation sensitivity to vegetation changes, potentially resulting in misleading conclusions. A promising avenue involves improving the transpiration partitioning parameterizations and incorpora...
Climate and Earth system modellingHydrology
10.1038/S44221-024-00203-Y
ISSN:2731-6084
Rising rainfall intensity induces spatially divergent hydrological changes within a large river basin
Yiping Wu•Xiaowei Yin•Guoyi Zhou•L. Adrian Bruijnzeel•Aiguo Dai等 10 人
Nature Communications
2024
•2024/1/27
•Vol.15 No.1 p.1-15
Droughts or floods are usually attributed to precipitation deficits or surpluses, both of which may become more frequent and severe under continued global warming. Concurring large-scale droughts in the Southwest and flooding in the Southeast of China in recent decades have attracted considerable at...
Climate changeClimate-change impactsHydrologyNatural hazards
10.1038/S41467-023-44562-8
ISSN:2041-1723
Linkage between precipitation isotopes and biosphere-atmosphere interaction observed in northeast India
Chakraborty Supriyo•Burman Pramit Kumar Deb•Sarma Dipankar•Sinha Nitesh•Datye Amey等 14 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2022
•2022/2/9
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-11
The intra-seasonal variation in precipitation isotopes shows a characteristic declining trend over northeast India. As of now, no mechanism offers a consistent explanation of this trend. We have performed the isotopic analysis of precipitation (rain) and estimated net ecosystem exchange and latent h...
Atmospheric dynamicsHydrology
10.1038/S41612-022-00231-Z
ISSN:2397-3722
Atmospheric rivers are associated with nine out of every 10 floods in major global river basins
Milica Stojanovic•Albenis Pérez-Alarcón•Rogert Sorí•Raquel Nieto•Luis Gimeno
Npj Natural Hazards
2026
•2026/1/15
•Vol.3 No.1 p.60
The role of atmospheric rivers (ARs) in 119 major flood events across 50 global river basins was investigated. The ARs were linked to 74% of the flood areas and 89% of the full basins. Their contributions were evident during and before floods, with influences spanning mid-latitudes to tropical regio...
Climate sciencesGeographyHydrologyNatural hazardsWater resources
10.1038/S44304-026-00167-X
ISSN:2948-2100