ERA5 hourly data on single levels from 1940 to present
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ERA5 hourly data on single levels from 1940 to present

The dataset in question is the "ERA5 hourly data on single levels from 1940 to present," part of the ECMWF's fifth-generation reanalysis product. It provides hourly estimates for various atmospheric, ocean-wave, and land-surface quantities globally since 1940, available on a regular latitude-longitude grid with a resolution of 0.25° x 0.25° for the atmosphere and 0.5° x 0.5° for ocean waves. The data is derived from combining model outputs and observations using advanced data assimilation techniques, ensuring a globally consistent and complete dataset. ERA5 includes precomputed uncertainty estimates through an ensemble mean and spread, essential for assessing data reliability. While daily updates are provided with a latency of about five days, users are informed if significant issues arise in the early release. The dataset is optimized for efficient access and retrieval, making it valuable for climate research, monitoring, and application development requiring high-resolution historical data.

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145

The role of cyclonic activity in tropical temperature-rainfall scaling

Traxl DominikBoers NiklasRheinwalt AljoschaBookhagen Bodo
Nature Communications
2021
2021/11/18
Vol.12 No.1 p.1-9
The attribution of changing intensity of rainfall extremes to global warming is a key challenge of climate research. From a thermodynamic perspective, via the Clausius-Clapeyron relationship, rainfall events are expected to become stronger due to the increased water-holding capacity of a warmer atmo...
Atmospheric dynamicsHydrologyNatural hazards
10.1038/S41467-021-27111-Z
ISSN:2041-1723

Exploring causes of distinct regional and subseasonal Indian summer monsoon precipitation responses to CO2 removal

Seungmok PaikDaehyun KimSoon-Il AnHyoeun OhJongsoo Shin8
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
2024/12/19
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-12
This study investigates the response of Indian summer monsoon (ISM) precipitation to CO2 removal, with a specific focus on regional and subseasonal variations. Following CO2 removal, monsoon circulation weakens throughout the summer owing to the reduced large-scale meridional temperature gradient ar...
Atmospheric dynamicsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41612-024-00858-0
ISSN:2397-3722

Building façade photovoltaics enhance global climate resilience

Hou JiangLing YaoJun QinWenli ZhaoTang Liu13
Nature Climate Change
2026
2026/3/27
00 p.1-9
Climate change is intensifying global energy demands and amplifying exposure to extreme heat. Building façade-integrated photovoltaics (FIPV) present a largely untapped opportunity to supply renewable electricity while enhancing urban climate resilience. Here we show that deployable FIPV systems wor...
Climate changeEnergy modelling
10.1038/S41558-026-02606-Z
ISSN:1758-678X

Beaufort sea ice loss contributes to enhanced health exposure to fire weather over Southeast Asia

Guanyu LiuJing LiTong YingYueming DongZhenyu Zhang7
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
2025/2/20
Vol.8 No.1 p.1-10
Fires are a major source of air pollutants in Southeast Asia. Over the past few decades, there has been an increase in fire activities in this region, and the causes are not entirely clear. By analyzing multiple observational and reanalysis datasets, as well as conducting climate model simulations, ...
Atmospheric scienceClimate-change impactsEnvironmental sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-00954-9
ISSN:2397-3722

Bowhead whale faeces link increasing algal toxins in the Arctic to ocean warming

Kathi A. LefebvrePatrick CharapataRaphaela StimmelmayrPeigen LinRobert S. Pickart12
Nature
2025
2025/7/9
00 p.1-6
Over the last two decades, ocean warming and rapid loss of sea ice have dramatically changed the Pacific Arctic marine environment1–3. These changes are predicted to increase harmful algal bloom prevalence and toxicity, as rising temperatures and larger open water areas are more favourable for growt...
Climate-change ecologyMarine biologyMarine mammalsPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41586-025-09230-5
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East Asian Meiyu variability reflected in precipitation oxygen isotopes via western Pacific subtropical high

Rong LiZhongyin CaiXinyi YuCheng WangLide Tian
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2026
2026/1/28
Vol.9 No.1 p.620
It remains uncertain whether precipitation oxygen isotopes (δ18O) reliably capture East Asian Meiyu monsoon variability. Analyzing daily δ18O across the Yangtze-Huai River Basin from 28-34°N, we reveal a distinct spatial dichotomy. In the middle and northern Meiyu regions, δ18O robustly tracks Meiyu...
Climate sciencesEnvironmental sciences
10.1038/S41612-026-01336-5
ISSN:2397-3722

Unraveling the Indian monsoon’s role in fueling the unprecedented 2022 Marine Heatwave in the Western North Pacific

Qianghua SongChunzai WangYulong YaoHanjie Fan
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
2024/4/16
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-8
An unprecedented marine heatwave (MHW) event occurred in the middle-high latitudes of the western North Pacific during the summer of 2022. We demonstrate that excessive precipitation thousands of kilometers away fuels this extreme MHW event in July 2022. In the upper atmosphere, a persistent atmosph...
Atmospheric dynamicsPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41612-024-00645-X
ISSN:2397-3722

Warmer temperatures lead to wetter tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic

Haider AliHayley J. FowlerKevin ReedAndreas F. Prein
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2026
2026/2/27
Vol.9 No.1 p.900
Tropical cyclones (TCs) and their post-tropical (PTC) counterparts respond differently to surface warming, reflecting distinct thermodynamic and dynamical controls on storm structure and heavy precipitation. To quantify these responses, we developed a dynamically derived wind-based radius (r6) using...
Climate sciencesNatural hazards
10.1038/S41612-026-01363-2
ISSN:2397-3722

Variations in land-atmosphere coupling during drought-heatwave events

Donghyuck YoonJan-Huey ChenHsin HsuKirsten L. Findell
Communications Earth & Environment
2026
2026/1/5
Vol.7 No.1 p.10
Droughts and heatwaves are linked through different land-atmosphere coupling pathways. While high temperatures and depleted soil moisture (SM) characterize all drought-heatwave events, latent heat flux (LHF) reveals the dominant forcing mechanism driving these events. Our grid-based analysis of six ...
Atmospheric dynamicsHydrologyNatural hazards
10.1038/S43247-025-02977-9
ISSN:2662-4435

Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales

Timothy M. LentonJesse F. AbramsAnnett BartschSebastian BathianyChris A. Boulton16
Nature Communications
2024
2024/1/6
Vol.15 No.1 p.1-15
Potential climate tipping points pose a growing risk for societies, and policy is calling for improved anticipation of them. Satellite remote sensing can play a unique role in identifying and anticipating tipping phenomena across scales. Where satellite records are too short for temporal early warni...
Climate-change impactsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-023-44609-W
ISSN:2041-1723

Global scale coupling of pyromes and fire regimes

Cristobal PaisJose Ramon Gonzalez-OlabarriaPelagie Elimbi MoudioJordi Garcia-GonzaloMarta C. González6
Communications Earth & Environment
2023
2023/7/21
Vol.4 No.1 p.1-12
Different interpretations of the fire regime concept have limited the capacity to allocate specific fire regimes worldwide. To solve this limitation, in this study, we present a framework to frame contemporary fire regimes spatially on a global scale. We process historical wildfire records between 2...
ForestryNatural hazards
10.1038/S43247-023-00881-8
ISSN:2662-4435

Unveiling the devastating effect of the spring 2022 mega-heatwave on the South Asian snowpack

Waqar ul HassanMunir Ahmad NayakMd Saquib SaharwardiJunaid Ahmad DarHari Prasad Dasari7
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/11/15
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-13
Global warming has led to a notable increase in heatwaves globally and regionally. In spring 2022, South Asia witnessed an unprecedented heatwave with temperatures breaking historical records and exceeding 5° C from climatological mean at several locations in the northern Indian subcontinent. Here, ...
Climate sciencesNatural hazards
10.1038/S43247-024-01857-Y
ISSN:2662-4435

Asymmetric bubble-mediated gas transfer enhances global ocean CO2 uptake

Yuanxu DongMingxi YangThomas G. BellChrista A. MarandinoDavid K. Woolf
Nature Communications
2025
2025/11/25
Vol.16 No.1 p.105950
Sea-air carbon dioxide (CO2) flux is typically estimated from the product of the gas transfer velocity (K) and the CO2 fugacity difference between the ocean surface and atmosphere. Total gas exchange comprises interfacial transfer across the unbroken surface and bubble-mediated transfer from wave br...
Marine chemistryPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41467-025-66652-5
ISSN:2041-1723

Upwind terrestrial influences on soil moisture variability across South America

Feini HuangShijie JiangWei ShangguanGustau Camps-VallsAlexander Winkler11
Nature Communications
2026
2026/7/24
Vol.17 No.1 p.72560
Soil moisture across South America exhibits coherent spatial patterns shaped by upwind terrestrial conditions, yet their downwind propagation remains poorly quantified. We develop an observation-driven framework integrating atmospheric transport trajectories with deep learning to estimate vegetation...
Atmospheric dynamicsHydrology
10.1038/S41467-026-75637-X
ISSN:2041-1723

Identification of reliable locations for wind power generation through a global analysis of wind droughts

Enrico G. A. AntoniniEdgar VirgüezSara AshfaqLei DuanTyler H. Ruggles6
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/3/4
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-9
Wind droughts, or prolonged periods of low wind speeds, pose challenges for electricity systems largely reliant on wind generation. Using weather reanalysis data, we analyzed the global distribution of and trends in wind droughts using an energy deficit metric that integrates the depth and duration ...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate changeEnergy supply and demand
10.1038/S43247-024-01260-7
ISSN:2662-4435

Marine heatwaves and cold spells in the Brazil Overshoot show distinct sea surface temperature patterns depending on the forcing

Hao LiuXunwei NieJunqiang ShiZexun Wei
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/2/26
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-9
The Brazil Current Overshoot regions feature the strongest sea surface temperature variations over the global ocean but forecast skill for these extreme variations is limited. Here we investigate the drivers of marine heatwaves and cold spells in this region and find that ocean flows and sea surface...
Ocean sciencesPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S43247-024-01258-1
ISSN:2662-4435

Climate influence on compound solar and wind droughts in Australia

D. RichardsonA. J. PitmanN. N. Ridder
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
2023/11/10
Vol.6 No.1 p.1-10
Solar photovoltaic and wind power are central to Australia’s renewable energy future, implying an energy sector vulnerable to weather and climate variability. Alignment of weather systems and the influence of large-scale climate modes of variability risks widespread reductions in solar and wind reso...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate sciencesIndustry
10.1038/S41612-023-00507-Y
ISSN:2397-3722

Daily rainfall variability controls humid heatwaves in the global tropics and subtropics

Lawrence S. JacksonCathryn E. BirchGuillaume ChagnaudJohn H. MarshamChristopher M. Taylor
Nature Communications
2025
2025/4/29
Vol.16 No.1 p.1-12
Humid heatwaves are a growing risk to human and animal health, especially in tropical regions. While there is established research on dry-bulb temperature heatwaves, greater understanding of the meteorological drivers of extreme humid heat is urgently needed. In this study, we find that recent rainf...
Atmospheric scienceNatural hazards
10.1038/S41467-025-58694-6
ISSN:2041-1723

Comprehensive assessment of the contribution of wastewater treatment to urban greenhouse gas and ammonia emissions

Daniel P. MooreNathan P. LiCuihong SongJun-Jie ZhuHongming Yi13
Nature Water
2025
2025/10/8
00 p.1-11
Population growth and urbanization are driving the demand for centralized wastewater treatment, a primary source of N2O and CH4 emissions. We have conducted the first comprehensive assessment of CH4, N2O and NH3 emissions across diurnal, day-to-day and seasonal scales at 96 US water resource recover...
Atmospheric scienceWater resources
10.1038/S44221-025-00490-Z
ISSN:2731-6084

Anomalous increase in sea fog frequency along coastal China in the early 21st century and the aerosol influence

Xinyan LiFan WangXiaorui ZhangPak Wai ChanYuanjian Yang7
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
2025/11/17
Vol.8 No.1 p.3650
Sea fog hampers coastal activities, yet its decadal variability in coastal China remains insufficiently characterized. Using hourly marine observations from the International Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS), we identify an April–July sea fog frequency (SFF) trend reversal over fog-p...
Climate sciencesEnvironmental sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-01247-X
ISSN:2397-3722

A hybrid approach for skillful multiseasonal prediction of winter North Pacific blocking

Mingyu ParkNathaniel C. JohnsonJaeyoung HwangLiwei Jia
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
2024/9/30
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-16
Wintertime atmospheric blocking often brings adverse environmental and socioeconomic impacts through its accompanying temperature and precipitation extremes. However, due to the chaotic nature of the extratropical atmospheric circulation and the challenges in simulating blocking, the skillful season...
Atmospheric scienceProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41612-024-00767-2
ISSN:2397-3722

Spatially varying effect of soil moisture-atmosphere feedback on spring streamflow under future warming in China

Peng JiXing Yuan
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/9/18
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-9
Soil moisture–atmosphere feedback (SAF) is expected to accelerate warming in the future, but its influences on the terrestrial water cycle over non-traditional hotspots of land–atmosphere coupling (e.g., East Asia) remains elusive due to strong heterogeneity and uncertainties at model grid scales. H...
HydrologyLimnologyProjection and prediction
10.1038/S43247-024-01701-3
ISSN:2662-4435

2021 North American heatwave amplified by climate change-driven nonlinear interactions

Bartusek SamuelKornhuber KaiTing Mingfang
Nature Climate Change
2022
2022/11/24
Vol.12 No.12 p.1143-1150
Heat conditions in North America in summer 2021 exceeded previous heatwaves by margins many would have considered impossible under current climate conditions. Associated severe impacts highlight the need for understanding the physical drivers of the heatwave and relations to climate change, to impro...
Atmospheric dynamicsAttributionClimate-change impactsEnvironmental impactProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41558-022-01520-4
ISSN:1758-678X

Poleward intensification of midlatitude extreme winds under warmer climate

Emanuele Silvio GentileMing ZhaoKevin Hodges
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
2023/12/21
Vol.6 No.1 p.1-10
Our study investigates the global impact of midlatitude cyclones on extreme wind speed events in both hemispheres under a warmer climate. Using the latest version of the high-resolution ≈ 50 km grid-spacing atmospheric climate model AM4, developed by the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, we con...
Atmospheric dynamicsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41612-023-00540-X
ISSN:2397-3722

Influence of aerosol forcing on the seasonal march of East Asia summer monsoon

Shutong GuoXiaoyan WangXiaowen GuiYanke Tan
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
2024/6/21
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-9
Focusing on the anthropogenic aerosols effects on the East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM) progression, we found that aerosols delay the northward progression of EASM by one pentad in the south of the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River (PD1: pentads 25-35) and the North-Northeast China (PD3: pent...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate-change impacts
10.1038/S41612-024-00699-X
ISSN:2397-3722

Stratospheric precursor induces wintertime phase reversal of the “warm Arctic-cold Eurasia” pattern

Yijia ZhangZhicong YinWenshou TianShengping HePangchi Hsu
Nature Communications
2026
2026/2/27
Vol.17 No.1 p.32840
Rapid Arctic warming has reached 2–4 times the global average, contrasting with the cooling trend in mid-high latitude Eurasia during the 1990s–2010s. A notable phenomenon of the “warm Arctic-cold Eurasia” (WACE) pattern is its frequent phase reversal between early and late winter seen in the last d...
Atmospheric scienceClimate change
10.1038/S41467-026-70100-3
ISSN:2041-1723

Climate change is associated with higher phytoplankton biomass and longer blooms in the West Antarctic Peninsula

Afonso FerreiraCarlos R. B. MendesRaul R. CostaVanda BrotasVirginia M. Tavano8
Nature Communications
2024
2024/8/2
Vol.15 No.1 p.1-11
The Antarctic Peninsula (West Antarctica) marine ecosystem has undergone substantial changes due to climate-induced shifts in atmospheric and oceanic temperatures since the 1950s. Using 25 years of satellite data (1998-2022), this study presents evidence that phytoplankton biomass and bloom phenolog...
Marine biologyMicrobial biooceanographyPhenology
10.1038/S41467-024-50381-2
ISSN:2041-1723

Human-induced warming accelerates local evapotranspiration and precipitation recycling over the Tibetan Plateau

Tat Fan ChengDeliang ChenBin WangTinghai OuMengqian Lu
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/7/20
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-15
The Tibetan Plateau faces changing precipitation and environmental conditions affecting alpine ecosystems and downstream freshwater sustainability. While aerosol influence has been highlighted, how human-induced greenhouse warming impacts the plateau’s moisture recycling remains unclear. Here we sho...
Atmospheric dynamicsAttributionGovernanceProjection and prediction
10.1038/S43247-024-01563-9
ISSN:2662-4435

Increasing extreme winds challenge offshore wind energy resilience

Yanan ZhaoYiheng TaoYuntian ChenJinyue YanZhenzhong Zeng
Nature Communications
2025
2025/11/4
Vol.16 No.1 p.1-12
Climate change is amplifying the intensity of extreme strong winds, threatening the development and resilience of offshore wind energy systems. The ability of wind turbines to endure such conditions is determined by the fifty-year return period wind speed (U50), a key parameter for turbine design. H...
Climate changeEnergy security
10.1038/S41467-025-65105-3
ISSN:2041-1723

Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors

Yann QuilcailleLukas GudmundssonDominik L. SchumacherThomas GasserRichard Heede12
Nature
2025
2025/9/10
Vol.645 No.8080 p.392-398
Extreme event attribution assesses how climate change affected climate extremes, but typically focuses on single events1–4. Furthermore, these attributions rarely quantify the extent to which anthropogenic actors have contributed to these events5,6. Here we show that climate change made 213 historic...
AttributionClimate and Earth system modellingNatural hazards
10.1038/S41586-025-09450-9
ISSN:0028-0836

The disproportionate impact of enhanced evaporation from melting arctic sea ice on cold-season land precipitation trends

Yubo LiuQiuhong TangChi ZhangDeliang ChenJennifer A. Francis7
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
2024/6/11
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-9
Diminishing Arctic sea ice has led to enhanced evaporation from the Arctic marginal seas (AMS), which is expected to alter precipitation over land. In this work, AMS evaporation is numerically tracked to quantify its contribution to cold-season (October–March) precipitation over land in the Northern...
Atmospheric scienceClimate change
10.1038/S41612-024-00680-8
ISSN:2397-3722

Seasonal productivity of the equatorial Atlantic shaped by distinct wind-driven processes

Peter BrandtMareike KörnerJames N. MoumMarisa RochAjit Subramaniam9
Nature Geoscience
2025
2025/1/6
Vol.18 No.1 p.84-90
The eastern equatorial Atlantic hosts a productive marine ecosystem that depends on upward supply of nitrate, the primary limiting nutrient in this region. The annual productivity peak, indicated by elevated surface chlorophyll levels, occurs in the Northern Hemisphere summer, roughly coinciding wit...
Element cyclesPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41561-024-01609-9
ISSN:1752-0894

Local mechanisms for global daytime, nighttime, and compound heatwaves

Sijia WuMing LuoRui ZhaoJing LiPeng Sun9
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
2023/5/15
Vol.6 No.1 p.1-13
Heatwaves impose serious impacts on ecosystems, human health, agriculture, and energy consumption. Previous studies have classified heatwaves into independent daytime, independent nighttime, and compound daytime-nighttime types, and examined the long-term changes in the three types. However, the und...
Atmospheric scienceClimate change
10.1038/S41612-023-00365-8
ISSN:2397-3722

Increasing probability of record-shattering climate extremes

E. M. FischerS. SippelR. Knutti
Nature Climate Change
2021
2021/7/26
00 p.1-7
Recent climate extremes have broken long-standing records by large margins. Such extremes unprecedented in the observational period often have substantial impacts due to a tendency to adapt to the highest intensities, and no higher, experienced during a lifetime. Here, we show models project not onl...
Climate and Earth system modellingProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41558-021-01092-9
ISSN:1758-678X

Microclimates slow and alter the direction of climate velocities in tropical forests

Lydia G. SoiferJames BallHamish AsmathIlya M. D. MacleanDavid Coomes
Nature Climate Change
2025
2025/11/27
00 p.1-7
Climate velocity—the speed and direction species must move to track climate change—is often estimated without accounting for vegetation-driven microclimatic variation. Using mechanistic microclimate models parameterized with three-dimensional maps of topography and vegetation structure, here we show...
Climate-change ecologyForest ecologyTropical ecology
10.1038/S41558-025-02496-7
ISSN:1758-678X

Recent global decline in rainfall interception loss due to altered rainfall regimes

Lian XuZhao WenliGentine Pierre
Nature Communications
2022
2022/12/10
Vol.13 No.1 p.1-11
Evaporative loss of interception (Ei) is the first process occurring during rainfall, yet its role in large-scale surface water balance has been largely underexplored. Here we show that Ei can be inferred from flux tower evapotranspiration measurements using physics-informed hybrid machine learning ...
EcologyHydrology
10.1038/S41467-022-35414-Y
ISSN:2041-1723

Summer snow on Arctic sea ice modulated by the Arctic Oscillation

Melinda A. WebsterAku RiiheläSahra KacimiThomas J. BallingerEdward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth7
Nature Geoscience
2024
2024/9/6
00 p.1-8
Since the 1970s, Arctic sea ice has undergone unprecedented change, becoming thinner, less extensive and less resilient to summer melt. Snow’s high albedo greatly reduces solar absorption in sea ice and the upper ocean, which mitigates sea–ice melt and ocean warming. However, the drivers of summerti...
Atmospheric dynamicsCryospheric science
10.1038/S41561-024-01525-Y
ISSN:1752-0894

Thunderstorm straight line winds intensify with climate change

Andreas F. Prein
Nature Climate Change
2023
2023/11/2
00 p.1-7
Straight line winds (SLWs), or non-tornadic thunderstorm winds, are causing widespread damage in many regions around the world. These powerful gusts are associated with strong downdraughts in thunderstorms, rear inflow jets and mesovortices. Despite their significance, our understanding of climate c...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate-change impacts
10.1038/S41558-023-01852-9
ISSN:1758-678X

Mechanisms behind the rapid rise of extreme heat discomfort days in South China

Xin HaoHuijun WangBotao ZhouJiandong Li
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
2025/10/23
Vol.8 No.1 p.1-10
Extreme heat discomfort days (EHDDs) are increasing in frequency and intensity under global warming, raising growing concerns in subtropical regions such as South China. Using multi-decadal observational data, we identify a marked increase in the frequency and spatial extent of EHDDs since 2000, fol...
Climate sciencesEnvironmental sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-01229-Z
ISSN:2397-3722

Global warming intensifies extreme day-to-day temperature changes in mid–low latitudes

Qi LiuCongbin FuZhongfeng XuAijun Ding
Nature Climate Change
2025
2025/11/21
00 p.1-8
Global warming is increasing the number and intensity of many extreme weather and climate events. Here we argue that extreme day-to-day temperature changes, exceeding the 90th percentile threshold of historical records, are an independent, but largely ignored, aspect of extreme weather events. Such ...
AttributionProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41558-025-02486-9
ISSN:1758-678X

Fingerprints of past volcanic eruptions can be detected in historical climate records using machine learning

Johannes MeuerClaudia TimmreckShih-Wei FangChristopher Kadow
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/8/23
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-10
Accurately interpreting past climate variability, especially distinguishing between forced and unforced changes, is challenging. Proxy data confirm the occurrence of large volcanic eruptions, but linking temperature patterns to specific events or origins is elusive. We present a method combining his...
Atmospheric scienceNatural hazardsPalaeoclimate
10.1038/S43247-024-01617-Y
ISSN:2662-4435

Characterizing heatwaves based on land surface energy budget

Yinglin TianAxel KleidonCorey LeskSha ZhouXiangzhong Luo9
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/10/24
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-9
Heat extremes pose pronounced threats to social-ecological systems and are projected to become more intense, frequent, and longer. However, the mechanisms driving heatwaves vary across heatwave types and are not yet fully understood. Here we decompose perturbations in the surface energy budget to ca...
AttributionEnvironmental healthEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43247-024-01784-Y
ISSN:2662-4435

Nested cross-validation Gaussian process to model dimethylsulfide mesoscale variations in warm oligotrophic Mediterranean seawater

Karam MansourStefano DecesariMarco PaglioneSilvia BecagliMatteo Rinaldi
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
2024/11/9
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-12
The study proposes an approach to elucidate spatiotemporal mesoscale variations of seawater Dimethylsulfide (DMS) concentrations, the largest natural source of atmospheric sulfur aerosol, based on the Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) machine learning model. Presently, the GPR was trained and evalua...
Atmospheric chemistryOcean sciences
10.1038/S41612-024-00830-Y
ISSN:2397-3722

Observed increases in extreme fire weather driven by atmospheric humidity and temperature

Jain PiyushCastellanos-Acuna DanteCoogan Sean C. P.Abatzoglou John T.Flannigan Mike D.
Nature Climate Change
2021
2021/11/25
00 p.1-8
Recent increases in regional wildfire activity have been linked to climate change. Here, we analyse trends in observed global extreme fire weather and their meteorological drivers from 1979 to 2020 using the ERA5 reanalysis. Trends in annual extreme (95th percentile) values of the fire weather index...
Climate-change impactsFire ecology
10.1038/S41558-021-01224-1
ISSN:1758-678X

Enhanced stratosphere-troposphere and tropics-Arctic couplings in the 2023/24 winter

Lu QianJian RaoRongcai RenChunhua ShiSiming Liu
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/10/26
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-12
The stratosphere-troposphere and the tropics-Arctic couplings were intermittently enhanced in the 2023/24 winter. Here we used ERA5 reanalysis data and found that due to the amplification of planetary wavenumber 1 and 2 pulses, three displacement-type sudden stratospheric warming events occurred in ...
Atmospheric dynamicsAtmospheric science
10.1038/S43247-024-01812-X
ISSN:2662-4435

Observed regimes of submesoscale dynamics in the Southern Ocean seasonal ice zone

Channing J. PrendSebastiaan SwartAndrew L. StewartMarcel D. du PlessisGeorgy E. Manucharyan6
Nature Communications
2025
2025/9/25
Vol.16 No.1 p.1-11
Submesoscale flows, occurring at scales of about 1–10 km, are crucial to the vertical transport of heat and other tracers in the upper ocean. These flows are energized by instabilities that extract potential energy from lateral buoyancy gradients, which are ubiquitous in the seasonal sea ice zone. P...
Cryospheric sciencePhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41467-025-63775-7
ISSN:2041-1723

The changing magnitude and timing of riverine floods in India

Sai Kiran KuntlaManabendra SahariaSharad Kumar Jain
Npj Natural Hazards
2025
2025/6/6
Vol.2 No.1 p.1-11
Riverine floods are one of the most frequent and destructive types of natural hazards globally. Although India has densely populated floodplains, national-scale trends in flood discharge observations remain largely unknown. Using representative streamflow records, we assessed changes in flood magnit...
HydrologyNatural hazardsWater resources
10.1038/S44304-025-00099-Y
ISSN:2948-2100

Effect of land use changes on air quality: impacts of urbanization, urban vegetation, and agriculture

Alba BadiaRicard Segura-BarreroSergi VenturaMarc GuevaraJosep Peñuelas6
Npj Urban Sustainability
2025
2025/11/29
0
Urbanization converts natural landscapes into impervious surfaces, altering local climate and air quality. Greening strategies are adopted to mitigate these effects, yet their effectiveness depends on land use, urban form, geography, and climate interactions. Using an air quality model with an urban...
Atmospheric chemistryPollution remediation
10.1038/S42949-025-00303-Y
ISSN:2661-8001

Prolonged wind droughts in a warming climate threaten global wind power security

Meng QuLu ShenZhenzhong ZengBolei YangHuiru Zhong7
Nature Climate Change
2025
2025/7/28
00 p.1-8
Prolonged low-wind events, termed wind droughts, threaten wind turbine electricity generation, yet their future trajectories remain poorly understood. Here, using hourly data from 21 IPCC models, we reveal robust increasing trends in wind drought duration at both global and regional scales by 2100, ...
AttributionEnergy supply and demandProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41558-025-02387-X
ISSN:1758-678X

Shifts in MJO behavior enhance predictability of subseasonal precipitation whiplashes

Tat Fan ChengBin WangFei LiuGuosen ChenMengqian Lu
Nature Communications
2025
2025/4/28
Vol.16 No.1 p.1-13
Subseasonal precipitation whiplashes, marked by sudden shifts between dry and wet extremes, can disrupt ecosystems and human well-being. Predicting these events two to six weeks in advance is crucial for disaster management. Here, we show that the propagation diversity of the Madden-Julian Oscillati...
Climate and Earth system modellingClimate-change impactsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-025-58955-4
ISSN:2041-1723

Antarctic-wide ice-shelf firn emulation reveals robust future firn air depletion signal for the Antarctic Peninsula

Devon DunmireNander WeverAlison F. BanwellJan T. M. Lenaerts
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/2/24
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-13
Antarctic firn is critical for ice-shelf stability because it stores meltwater that would otherwise pond on the surface. Ponded meltwater increases the risk of hydrofracture and subsequent potential ice-shelf collapse. Here, we use output from a firn model to build a computationally simpler emulator...
Climate changeCryospheric science
10.1038/S43247-024-01255-4
ISSN:2662-4435

Vegetation greening drives long-term dust mitigation in Eastern Asia

Yang FuChenglai WuShan GaoJosep PeñuelasJ. Julio Camarero12
Nature Communications
2026
2026/1/27
Vol.17 No.1 p.17290
Dryland vegetation dynamics play a fundamental role in dust mitigation. While weaker winds have driven recent dust decline in Eastern Asia, the long-term influence of vegetation remains overlooked. Here, using a physically based modeling approach that partitions the drivers of dust emissions across ...
Atmospheric dynamicsEcologyNatural hazards
10.1038/S41467-026-68427-Y
ISSN:2041-1723

A modified transformer model for the extended-range forecast of intraseasonal oscillation

Chuhan LuYichen ShenZhaoyong Guan
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
2025/1/8
Vol.8 No.1 p.1-11
Extended-range forecast has long maintained a difficult point for the seamless forecast system due to the lack of predictability, with intraseasonal oscillation (ISO), an important signal in many high-impact weather events, being an important source of that. To improve the accuracy of ISO extended-r...
Atmospheric dynamicsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41612-025-00902-7
ISSN:2397-3722

Nowcasting lightning occurrence from commonly available meteorological parameters using machine learning techniques

Amirhossein MostajabiDeclan L. FinneyMarcos RubinsteinFarhad Rachidi
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2019
2019/11/8
Vol.2 No.1 p.1-15
Lightning discharges in the atmosphere owe their existence to the combination of complex dynamic and microphysical processes. Knowledge discovery and data mining methods can be used for seeking characteristics of data and their teleconnections in complex data clusters. We have used machine learning ...
Atmospheric scienceClimate change
10.1038/S41612-019-0098-0
ISSN:2397-3722

Multispecies deep learning using citizen science data produces more informative plant community models

Philipp BrunDirk N. KargerDamaris ZurellPatrice DescombesLucienne C. de Witte8
Nature Communications
2024
2024/5/24
Vol.15 No.1 p.1-15
In the age of big data, scientific progress is fundamentally limited by our capacity to extract critical information. Here, we map fine-grained spatiotemporal distributions for thousands of species, using deep neural networks (DNNs) and ubiquitous citizen science data. Based on 6.7 M observations, w...
BiodiversityMacroecologyPlant ecology
10.1038/S41467-024-48559-9
ISSN:2041-1723

Global hotspots of compound extreme heat-pollution linked to local surface and atmospheric conditions

Ziwei HuangMing LuoSijia WuHui ZhangWenyue Cao
Communications Earth & Environment
2026
2026/4/1
0
Extreme heat and particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution are among the deadliest environmental hazards that threaten humans and ecosystems. Their co-occurrence, known as compound heat-pollution events, can amplify risks far beyond those posed by either hazard alone, but their global patterns and p...
Climate changeNatural hazards
10.1038/S43247-026-03460-9
ISSN:2662-4435

Subsurface ocean turbulent mixing enhances central Pacific ENSO

Chuanyu LiuFan WangArmin KöhlXiaowei WangChunzai Wang6
Nature Communications
2025
2025/3/8
Vol.16 No.1 p.1-15
Since the 21st century, the El Niño and Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exhibits more pronounced signals in the central Pacific (CP) rather than the eastern Pacific (EP), but the prediction skill has waned, suggesting limited understanding of crucial dynamics within the prediction framework. The ocean m...
Ocean sciencesPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41467-025-57058-4
ISSN:2041-1723

Historical changes in the Causal Effect Networks of compound hot and dry extremes in central Europe

Yinglin TianDomenico GiaquintoGiorgia Di CapuaJudith N. ClaassenJaved Ali7
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/12/12
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-14
Changes in hot and dry extremes in central Europe have been attributed to atmospheric circulation anomalies and land-atmosphere interactions. However, the strength of the underlying causal links and their historical trends have not been quantified. Here, we use Causal Effect Networks (based on the P...
Atmospheric dynamicsAttribution
10.1038/S43247-024-01934-2
ISSN:2662-4435

Drought triggers and sustains overnight fires in North America

Kaiwei LuoXianli WangMark de JongMike Flannigan
Nature
2024
2024/3/13
Vol.627 No.8003 p.321-327
Overnight fires are emerging in North America with previously unknown drivers and implications. This notable phenomenon challenges the traditional understanding of the ‘active day, quiet night’ model of the diurnal fire cycle1–3 and current fire management practices4,5. Here we demonstrate that drou...
Climate-change impactsEnvironmental healthFire ecology
10.1038/S41586-024-07028-5
ISSN:0028-0836

Long-term satellite data reveals complex phytoplankton dynamics in the Ross Sea, Antarctica

Graça S. NunesAfonso FerreiraAna C. Brito
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/10/31
Vol.6 No.1 p.1-16
The Ross Sea (Southern Ocean) hosts diverse marine ecosystems like polynyas and marginal ice zones. In recent decades, multiple environmental changes (e.g., water temperature increase, sea ice retreat) have affected local biological communities, including phytoplankton. These microscopic organisms s...
BiooceanographyMarine biology
10.1038/S43247-025-02590-W
ISSN:2662-4435

Tropical storms trigger phytoplankton blooms in the deserts of north Indian Ocean

J. KuttippurathN. SunandaM. V. MartinKunal Chakraborty
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2021
2021/2/24
Vol.4 No.1 p.1-12
As the phytoplanktons consume carbon dioxide, they significantly influence the global carbon cycle and thus, the global temperature by modifying sea surface temperature. Studies on the changes in chlorophyll–a (Chl-a) amount are therefore, key for understanding the changes in ocean productivity, glo...
Atmospheric dynamicsBiogeochemistryEnvironmental impactWater resources
10.1038/S41612-021-00166-X
ISSN:2397-3722

First crossings of global warming levels in CMIP6 in light of observed 1.5 °C exceedance

Kalle NordlingNora L. S. FahrenbachAntti LipponenJoonas Merikanto
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2026
2026/4/3
0
The year 2024 marked the first time global temperatures exceeded 1.5 °C, raising questions about climate projection accuracy and implications for climate goals. We quantify the timing and likelihood of first crossing 1.5 °C and higher global warming levels across CMIP6 models. The observed 2024 cros...
Climate sciencesEnvironmental sciences
10.1038/S41612-026-01401-Z
ISSN:2397-3722

Thermodynamically inconsistent extreme precipitation sensitivities across continents driven by cloud-radiative effects

Sarosh Alam GhausiErwin ZeheSubimal GhoshYinglin TianAxel Kleidon
Nature Communications
2024
2024/12/11
Vol.15 No.1 p.1-9
Extreme precipitation events are projected to intensify with global warming, threatening ecosystems and amplifying flood risks. However, observation-based estimates of extreme precipitation-temperature (EP-T) sensitivities show systematic spatio-temporal variability, with predominantly negative sens...
Atmospheric dynamicsHydrology
10.1038/S41467-024-55143-8
ISSN:2041-1723

Teleconnections among tipping elements in the Earth system

Liu TengChen DeanYang LanMeng JunWang Zanchenling13
Nature Climate Change
2023
2023/1/5
Vol.13 No.1 p.67-74
Tipping elements are components of the Earth system that may shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another at specific thresholds. It is not well understood to what degree tipping of one system can influence other regions or tipping elements. Here, we propose a climate network approach t...
Climate changeStatistics
10.1038/S41558-022-01558-4
ISSN:1758-678X

Mapping of sea-ice melting and net freshwater flux by sea-ice in the Southern Ocean

Mizuki KomatsuKay I. OhshimaVigan MensahKazuki Nakata
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/7/23
Vol.6 No.1 p.1-9
Sea-ice in the Southern Ocean plays a crucial role in transporting and redistributing freshwater/salt and heat via freezing, melting, and transport. Changes in northward freshwater transport by sea-ice and its melt are suggested to change the salinity of intermediate water and stratification, which ...
Physical oceanography
10.1038/S43247-025-02560-2
ISSN:2662-4435

Expanding compound heat and ultraviolet radiation stress amplifies exposure risks for elderly populations

Ruiying ZhaoYuheng Yang
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/12/13
0
Extreme heat and heightened ultraviolet radiation are both projected to intensify under climate change, posing increasing risks to public health. Individual differences and demographic trends further complicate the concurrent heat and high ultraviolet stress, leaving global patterns of the compound ...
Climate changeEnvironmental health
10.1038/S43247-025-03070-X
ISSN:2662-4435

Accelerated sea ice loss in the Wandel Sea points to a change in the Arctic’s Last Ice Area

Axel J. SchweigerMichael SteeleJinlun ZhangG. W. K. MooreKristin L. Laidre
Communications Earth & Environment
2021
2021/7/1
Vol.2 No.1 p.1-11
The Arctic Ocean’s Wandel Sea is the easternmost sector of the Last Ice Area, where thick, old sea ice is expected to endure longer than elsewhere. Nevertheless, in August 2020 the area experienced record-low sea ice concentration. Here we use satellite data and sea ice model experiments to determin...
Cryospheric scienceOcean sciencesPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S43247-021-00197-5
ISSN:2662-4435

Storm-permitting climate modeling highlights storm frequency’s role in future extreme sea level changes along US East and Gulf coasts

Gaopeng XuPing ChangGokhan DanabasogluFrederic S. CastruccioStephen Yeager10
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2026
2026/1/8
Vol.9 No.1 p.80
Storm-induced coastal extreme sea levels (ESLs) pose severe threats to infrastructure, economies, and ecosystems. However, projecting future ESL changes is hindered by the coarse resolution of climate models used in assessment reports, which fail to accurately capture tropical cyclones (TCs) and nor...
Climate and Earth system modellingPhysical oceanographyProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41612-025-01274-8
ISSN:2397-3722

Interaction between atmospheric rivers and marine heatwaves in the North Pacific

Lujia ZhangYurong SongWen HuangMengqian LuTianyun Dong6
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2026
2026/2/13
Vol.9 No.1 p.740
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) and marine heatwaves (MHWs) are two major extreme events of the climate system that strongly influence the ocean–atmosphere interface, yet their mutual interactions remain poorly understood. Here we use long-term oceanic and atmospheric reanalysis datasets (OISST and ERA5) f...
Climate sciencesOcean sciences
10.1038/S41612-026-01350-7
ISSN:2397-3722

Field-space autoencoder for scalable climate emulators

Johannes MeuerMaximilian WitteÉtiénne PlésiatThomas LudwigChristopher Kadow
Npj Artificial Intelligence
2026
2026/5/16
Vol.2 No.1 p.500
High-Resolution Earth system models are essential for capturing local climate change. However, these models are computationally expensive and produce petabyte-scale outputs, limiting their utility for applications such as probabilistic risk assessment. Here, we present the Field-Space Autoencoder, a...
Climate sciencesMathematics and computing
10.1038/S44387-026-00116-Z
ISSN:3005-1460

Direct observation of Earth’s spectral long-wave feedback parameter

Roemer Florian E.Buehler Stefan A.Brath ManfredKluft LukasJohn Viju O.
Nature Geoscience
2023
2023/4/20
00 p.1-6
The spectral long-wave feedback parameter represents how Earth’s outgoing long-wave radiation adjusts to temperature changes and directly impacts Earth’s climate sensitivity. Most research so far has focused on the spectral integral of the feedback parameter. Spectrally resolving the feedback parame...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate changeProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41561-023-01175-6
ISSN:1752-0894

Climate change exacerbates compound flooding from recent tropical cyclones

L. E. GrimleyK. E. Hollinger BeattyA. SebastianS. BunyaG. M. Lackmann
Npj Natural Hazards
2024
2024/12/18
Vol.1 No.1 p.1-10
Tropical cyclones (TCs) generate substantial damage raising concerns about how climate change may amplify their impacts. However, linking changes in TC characteristics (wind, precipitation) to shifts in flood hazards and exposure, particularly due to the interaction of multiple drivers, is challengi...
HydrologyNatural hazards
10.1038/S44304-024-00046-3
ISSN:2948-2100

Compensating transport trends in the Drake Passage frontal regions yield no acceleration in net transport

Manuel O. Gutierrez-VillanuevaTeresa K. ChereskinJanet Sprintall
Nature Communications
2023
2023/11/28
Vol.14 No.1 p.1-12
Although the westerly winds that drive the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) have increased over the past several decades, the ACC response remains an open question. Here we use a 15-year time series of concurrent upper-ocean temperature, salinity, and ocean velocity with high spatial resolution a...
Physical oceanography
10.1038/S41467-023-43499-2
ISSN:2041-1723

South America is becoming warmer, drier, and more flammable

Sarah FeronRaúl R. CorderoAlessandro DamianiShelley MacDonellJaime Pizarro10
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/9/26
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-10
South America is experiencing severe impacts from climate change. Although the warming of the subcontinent closely follows the global path, the rise of temperatures has been more pronounced in some regions, which have also seen a parallel increment in the occurrence of droughts and weather condition...
Atmospheric scienceEnvironmental healthNatural hazards
10.1038/S43247-024-01654-7
ISSN:2662-4435

Decadal oceanic variability amplified recent heatwave in the Northern Hemisphere

Nan LeiXiaodan GuanYongkun XieXiaohan ShenYuhang Ding6
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
2025/8/5
Vol.8 No.1 p.1-12
The persistent increase in heatwaves has caused substantial economic and ecological damage. However, the contribution of decadal oceanic variability to the recent surge in heatwaves remains unclear. Here, using observations and simulations, we demonstrate that oceanic modulation drives decadal heatw...
Climate sciencesEnvironmental sciencesOcean sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-01179-6
ISSN:2397-3722

Association of western US compound hydrometeorological extremes with Madden-Julian oscillation and ENSO interaction

Jiabao WangMichael J. DeFlorioAlexander GershunovKristen GuirguisLuca Delle Monache6
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/6/12
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-12
Extreme weather and climate events can have substantial impacts on society and the environment. Compound extremes (two or more extreme events occurring simultaneously or successively) may exert even larger impacts than individual events. Here we examine physical drivers behind variability in hydrome...
Atmospheric dynamicsHydrology
10.1038/S43247-024-01449-W
ISSN:2662-4435

Tropical cyclone activity over western North Pacific favors Arctic sea ice increase

Liangying ZengYao HaChuanfeng ZhaoHaixia DaiYimin Zhu10
Nature Communications
2024
2024/11/5
Vol.15 No.1 p.1-11
Teleconnections between the tropics and the Arctic have attracted a lot of scientific interest. However, the mechanisms by which tropical synoptic-scale systems influence the variability of Arctic sea ice remain unknown. In this study, we highlight the impacts of tropical cyclone (TC) activity over ...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate-change impacts
10.1038/S41467-024-53991-Y
ISSN:2041-1723

Limited influence of irrigation on pre-monsoon heat stress in the Indo-Gangetic Plain

Jha RoshanMondal ArpitaDevanand AnjanaRoxy M. K.Ghosh Subimal
Nature Communications
2022
2022/7/25
Vol.13 No.1 p.1-10
Hot extremes are anticipated to be more frequent and more intense under climate change, making the Indo-Gangetic Plain of India, with a 400 million population, vulnerable to heat stress. Recent studies suggest that irrigation has significant cooling and moistening effects over this region. While lar...
Hydrology
10.1038/S41467-022-31962-5
ISSN:2041-1723

Rapid intensification of tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico is more likely during marine heatwaves

Soheil RadfarHamed MoftakhariHamid Moradkhani
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/8/9
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-13
Tropical cyclones can rapidly intensify under favorable oceanic and atmospheric conditions. This phenomenon is complex and difficult to predict, making it a serious challenge for coastal communities. A key contributing factor to the intensification process is the presence of prolonged high sea surfa...
Atmospheric dynamicsEnvironmental sciencesNatural hazardsOcean sciences
10.1038/S43247-024-01578-2
ISSN:2662-4435

Urban population exposure to apparent temperature whiplash is projected to increase with global warming

Yuheng YangRuiying Zhao
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/12/12
0
Apparent temperature whiplash, characterized by abrupt transitions between hot and cold perceived temperature, poses a great threat to urban climate adaptation. Effective risk assessment requires a comprehensive, human-centered framework to quantify this phenomenon. Here we assess historical and pro...
Climate-change impactsGeography
10.1038/S43247-025-03066-7
ISSN:2662-4435

Northern ecosystem productivity reduced by Rossby-wave-driven hot–dry conditions

Xu LianYangmingkai LiJiangong LiuKai KornhuberPierre Gentine
Nature Geoscience
2025
2025/6/16
00 p.1-9
Large-scale quasi-stationary Rossby waves in the tropospheric jet stream favour spatially compounding hot–dry and cold–wet weather across the northern hemisphere. However, how this circumglobal circulation pattern affects northern hemisphere ecosystem productivity remains unexplored. Here, using sat...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate-change impactsEcosystem ecology
10.1038/S41561-025-01722-3
ISSN:1752-0894

Direct and lagged climate change effects intensified the 2022 European drought

Emanuele BevacquaOldrich RakovecDominik L. SchumacherRohini KumarStephan Thober8
Nature Geoscience
2024
2024/10/21
00 p.1-8
In 2022, Europe faced an extensive summer drought with severe socioeconomic consequences. Quantifying the influence of human-induced climate change on such an extreme event can help prepare for future droughts. Here, by combining observations and climate model outputs with hydrological and land-surf...
Climate changeHydrologyNatural hazards
10.1038/S41561-024-01559-2
ISSN:1752-0894

Seasonal stratification and complex local dynamics control the sub-surface structure of marine heatwaves in Eastern Australian coastal waters

Amandine SchaefferAlex Sen GuptaMoninya Roughan
Communications Earth & Environment
2023
2023/9/1
Vol.4 No.1 p.1-12
Marine heatwaves are extreme seawater temperature events that can have severe impacts on marine life. The extent of the ecological damage depends not only on the easily observed surface signature but on the marine heatwave structure at depth. However, due to a paucity of in situ sub-surface observat...
Ocean sciencesPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S43247-023-00966-4
ISSN:2662-4435

Super-resolution wind mapping with deep learning for scalable renewable energy planning

Jun-Wei DingI-Yun Lisa Hsieh
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/12/11
0
Accurate wind information is crucial for expanding renewable energy, yet achieving high spatial resolution and accuracy simultaneously remains challenging. This challenge is intensified in regions with sparse surface observations, where uneven station coverage can bias model assessment. Here we pres...
Energy managementEnergy supply and demand
10.1038/S43247-025-03072-9
ISSN:2662-4435

Human driven climate change increased the likelihood of the 2023 record area burned in Canada

Megan C. Kirchmeier-YoungElizaveta MalininaQuinn E. BarberKaren Garcia PerdomoSalvatore R. Curasi16
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
2024/12/20
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-12
In 2023, wildfires burned 15 million hectares in Canada, more than doubling the previous record. These wildfires caused a record number of evacuations, unprecedented air quality impacts across Canada and the northeastern United States, and substantial strain on fire management resources. Using clima...
AttributionClimate changeClimate-change impacts
10.1038/S41612-024-00841-9
ISSN:2397-3722

Concurrent atmospheric heatwaves intensify marine heatwaves through air-sea heat flux change in the Mediterranean Sea

Laura Paredes-FortunyFrancisco PastorSamira Khodayar
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/8/6
Vol.6 No.1 p.1-9
Atmospheric and marine heatwaves are intensifying under climate change, increasingly co-occurring with significant impacts on ecosystems and society. Despite their significance, the effects of their concurrence remain poorly understood, particularly the influence on air-sea heat exchange—a key drive...
Atmospheric scienceOcean sciences
10.1038/S43247-025-02633-2
ISSN:2662-4435

Excessive equatorial light rain causes modeling dry bias of Indian summer monsoon rainfall

Gudongze LiChun ZhaoJun GuJiawang FengMingyue Xu10
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
2025/1/18
Vol.8 No.1 p.1-10
Simulating accurately the South Asian summer monsoon is crucial for food security of several South Asian countries yet challenging for global climate models (GCMs). The GCMs suffer from some systematic biases including dry bias in mean monsoon rainfall over the India subcontinent and excessive equat...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate and Earth system modelling
10.1038/S41612-025-00916-1
ISSN:2397-3722

Forecasting the eddying ocean with a deep neural network

Yingzhe CuiRuohan WuXiang ZhangZiqi ZhuBo Liu13
Nature Communications
2025
2025/3/6
Vol.16 No.1 p.1-11
Mesoscale eddies with horizontal scales from tens to hundreds of kilometers are ubiquitous in the upper ocean, dominating the ocean variability from daily to weekly time scales. Their turbulent nature causes great scientific challenges and computational burdens in accurately forecasting the short-te...
Physical oceanography
10.1038/S41467-025-57389-2
ISSN:2041-1723

Major Baltic Inflows come in different flavours

Ulrike LöptienMatthias RenzHeiner Dietze
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/3/25
Vol.6 No.1 p.1-9
The Baltic Sea is a marginal sea in northern Europe. Anthropogenic eutrophication and related deoxygenation are among its pressing environmental problems. To this end intermittent major salt water inflows from the North Sea are of major importance because they replace deep low-oxygenated waters with...
Ocean sciencesPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S43247-025-02209-0
ISSN:2662-4435

Asymmetric global urban cooling potential demands accelerated and context-specific actions

Xiaotian DingYifan FanYongling ZhaoDiana Ürge-VorsatzJian Ge6
Nature Communications
2026
2026/3/19
0
Rising urban temperatures and heat extremes pose an urgent global challenge, yet the potential for mitigating excessive urban heat–particularly at the global scale–remains unclear. Here, we quantify the cooling potential across 2,265 cities worldwide by the 2050s using validated urban climate simula...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate and Earth system modellingEnvironmental health
10.1038/S41467-026-70662-2
ISSN:2041-1723

Over 60% precipitation transformed into terrestrial water storage in global river basins from 2002 to 2021

Yulong ZhongBaoming TianHyunglok KimXing YuanXinyue Liu9
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/1/27
Vol.6 No.1 p.1-10
The crucial role of precipitation as a primary driver for terrestrial water cycle is well-established. However, quantifying the transformation of daily precipitation into terrestrial water storage remains a challenge. Here we address this by introducing a quantitative metric, average daily fraction ...
HydrologyWater resources
10.1038/S43247-024-01967-7
ISSN:2662-4435

Globally interconnected solar-wind system addresses future electricity demands

Hou JiangLing YaoJun QinYongqing BaiMartin Brandt11
Nature Communications
2025
2025/5/15
Vol.16 No.1 p.1-16
Accelerating energy transition towards renewables is central to net-zero emissions. However, building a global power system dominated by solar and wind energy presents immense challenges. Here, we demonstrate the potential of a globally interconnected solar-wind system to meet future electricity dem...
Energy and societyRenewable energySocial sciences
10.1038/S41467-025-59879-9
ISSN:2041-1723

Contrasting processes driving tropical and non-tropical winter warm spells

Sijia WuMing LuoManqing ShiYu TangTuantuan Zhang7
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/5/21
Vol.6 No.1 p.1-12
Winter warm spells (or winter heatwaves) are prolonged periods of anomalously high temperatures in cold seasons where hot weather typically does not occur. These off-season events challenge ecosystems and societies by triggering snowmelt-induced flooding and favoring wildfires, etc., but a...
Climate sciencesNatural hazards
10.1038/S43247-025-02377-Z
ISSN:2662-4435

Understanding spring forecast El Niño false alarms in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble

Aaron FZ LevineMichelle L’HeureuxCaihong Wen
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
2025/3/7
Vol.8 No.1 p.1-10
El Niño is responsible for the largest part of the seasonal-to-interannual climate variability, so forecasting El Niño events correctly is important. However, forecasting El Niño events during boreal spring remains challenging. The dynamical seasonal forecast models of the North American Multi-Model...
Atmospheric dynamicsPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41612-025-00956-7
ISSN:2397-3722

Atmospheric trends explained by changes in frequency of short-term circulation patterns

Rudeva IrinaBoschat GhyslaineLucas ChrisAshcroft LindenPepler Acacia6
Communications Earth & Environment
2023
2023/4/19
Vol.4 No.1 p.1-12
The circulation of the atmosphere is subject to natural and anthropogenic forcings that alter the energy balance of the climate system. In each hemisphere the zonally averaged atmospheric circulation can be represented by a single overturning cell if viewed in isentropic coordinates, highlighting th...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate change
10.1038/S43247-023-00785-7
ISSN:2662-4435

Synchronization of global peak river discharge since the 1980s

Yixin YangLong YangGabriele VillariniFang ZhaoDanqing Huang9
Nature Climate Change
2025
2025/9/30
Vol.15 No.10 p.1084-1090
Riverine floods that occur simultaneously over multiple regions often lead to amplified societal and environmental impacts compared to individual events. However, the pattern and mechanisms governing the global interconnection of peak river discharge across spatially distant and proximate locations ...
Hydrology
10.1038/S41558-025-02427-6
ISSN:1758-678X

The prevalent life cycle of agricultural flash droughts

Miguel A. LovinoM. Josefina PierresteguiOmar V. MüllerGabriela V. MüllerErnesto H. Berbery
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
2024/3/19
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-11
This work examines the characteristics and prevalent life cycle of agricultural flash droughts globally. Using ERA5 data, the study introduces a flash drought indicator based on soil water availability. This approach integrates root-zone soil moisture and hydraulic soil properties, such as field cap...
Atmospheric scienceEnvironmental sciences
10.1038/S41612-024-00618-0
ISSN:2397-3722

Strengthening influence of atmospheric rivers on global snow depth dynamics

Haili LiChang-Qing KeXiaoyi ShenSuhui WuQinghui Zhu12
Nature Communications
2026
2026/4/22
0
Atmospheric rivers (ARs), narrow zones of intense water vapor transport in the Earth’s atmosphere, play a pivotal role in driving heavy precipitation and temperature anomalies. Snowpack dynamics, essential for global water availability, are sensitive to variations in precipitation and temperature. H...
Atmospheric dynamicsCryospheric science
10.1038/S41467-026-71969-W
ISSN:2041-1723

CMIP6 models project a shrinking precipitation area

Andreas DoblerRasmus E. BenestadCristian LussanaOskar Landgren
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
2024/10/8
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-8
Reanalysis and satellite data indicate a decreasing precipitation area in recent decades, affecting local water resources and precipitation intensities. We have used CMIP6 simulations to test the hypothesis of a shrinking precipitation area in a warming climate. Our analyses reveal that SSP5-8.5 pro...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate and Earth system modellingClimate-change impactsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41612-024-00794-Z
ISSN:2397-3722

Submesoscales are a significant turbulence source in global ocean surface boundary layer

Jihai DongBaylor Fox-KemperJacob O. WenegratAbigail S. BodnerXiaolong Yu7
Nature Communications
2024
2024/11/5
Vol.15 No.1 p.1-11
The turbulent ocean surface boundary layer is a key part of the climate system affecting both the energy and carbon cycles. Accurately simulating the boundary layer is critical in improving climate model performance, which deeply relies on our understanding of the turbulence in the boundary layer. T...
Physical oceanography
10.1038/S41467-024-53959-Y
ISSN:2041-1723

Marine viruses disperse bidirectionally along the natural water cycle

Janina RahlffSarah P. EsserJulia PlewkaMara Elena HeinrichsAndré Soares10
Nature Communications
2023
2023/10/10
Vol.14 No.1 p.1-18
Marine viruses in seawater have frequently been studied, yet their dispersal from neuston ecosystems at the air-sea interface towards the atmosphere remains a knowledge gap. Here, we show that 6.2% of the studied virus population were shared between air-sea interface ecosystems and rainwater. Virus ...
Air microbiologyMarine biologyWater microbiology
10.1038/S41467-023-42125-5
ISSN:2041-1723

Sketching the spatial disparities in heatwave trends by changing atmospheric teleconnections in the Northern Hemisphere

Fenying CaiCaihong LiuDieter GertenSong YangTuantuan Zhang7
Nature Communications
2024
2024/9/13
Vol.15 No.1 p.1-12
Pronounced spatial disparities in heatwave trends are bound up with a diversity of atmospheric signals with complex variations, including different phases and wavenumbers. However, assessing their relationships quantitatively remains a challenging problem. Here, we use a network-searching approach t...
Atmospheric dynamicsAttribution
10.1038/S41467-024-52254-0
ISSN:2041-1723

Population exposure to compound climate extremes: global analysis to identify continent wise age group disparities in a warming world

Subhasmita DashRajib MaitySubhra Sekhar MaityHarald Kunstmann
Npj Natural Hazards
2025
2025/9/13
Vol.2 No.1 p.880
The global population faces escalating risks from compound climate extremes, but their future trajectories and differential impacts across age groups and regions remain unclear. This study reveals significant disparities in exposure to compound climate extremes between developed and developing count...
Climate-change impactsHealth policyNatural hazardsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S44304-025-00145-9
ISSN:2948-2100

Antarctic sea ice surface temperature bias in atmospheric reanalyses induced by the combined effects of sea ice and clouds

Zhaohui WangAlexander D. FraserPhillip ReidSiobhan O’FarrellRichard Coleman
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/10/2
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-12
Sea-ice surface temperature from atmospheric reanalysis has been used as an indicator of ice melt and climate change. However, its performance in atmospheric reanalyses is not fully understood in Antarctica. Here, we quantified biases in six widely-used reanalyses using satellite observations, and f...
Atmospheric scienceCryospheric science
10.1038/S43247-024-01692-1
ISSN:2662-4435

Climate modes can be leveraged to forecast coral bleaching months in advance

Mariya GalochkinaAnne L. CohenDelia W. OppoCaroline C. Ummenhofer
Communications Earth & Environment
2026
2026/4/3
0
The increasing frequency of coral bleaching events, fueled by ocean warming, is driving development of management strategies aimed at minimizing impact and maximizing reef recovery. Accurate early bleaching forecasts could provide the lead time critical for effective planning and intervention, yet e...
Ocean sciencesPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S43247-026-03438-7
ISSN:2662-4435

Expansion of Antarctic surface melt through the 21st century

Yaowen ZhengNicholas R. GolledgeAlexandra GossartShoujuan Shu
Nature Communications
2026
2026/3/30
0
Climate models show that Antarctic surface melt will increase through the current century. Surface melting changes ice sheet albedo, the availability of liquid water for endemic and invasive species, and may even accelerate ice shelf collapse and global sea level rise. Here we show, using 1 km downs...
Climate and Earth system modellingCryospheric science
10.1038/S41467-026-71114-7
ISSN:2041-1723

Climate science data can be compressed efficiently by dual-stage extreme compression with a variational auto-encoder transformer

Tao HanZhenghao ChenSong GuoWanghan XuWanli Ouyang6
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/11/24
Vol.6 No.1 p.9550
Climate change makes accurate weather prediction and large-scale data analysis increasingly crucial, but the sheer volume of weather data strains data storage and sharing. Here we introduce Aeolus, a deep learning framework with powerful Variational Auto-Encoder transFormer (VAEFormer) modules that ...
Atmospheric scienceClimate and Earth system modellingClimate sciences
10.1038/S43247-025-02903-Z
ISSN:2662-4435

Artificial intelligence reveals past climate extremes by reconstructing historical records

Étienne PlésiatRobert J. H. DunnMarkus G. DonatChristopher Kadow
Nature Communications
2024
2024/10/24
Vol.15 No.1 p.1-12
The understanding of recent climate extremes and the characterization of climate risk require examining these extremes within a historical context. However, the existing datasets of observed extremes generally exhibit spatial gaps and inaccuracies due to inadequate spatial extrapolation. This proble...
Atmospheric scienceClimate sciences
10.1038/S41467-024-53464-2
ISSN:2041-1723

Growing prevalence of heat over cold extremes with overall milder extremes and multiple successive events

Zhang YuanLi QiangziGe YongDu XinWang Hongyan
Communications Earth & Environment
2022
2022/4/1
Vol.3 No.1 p.1-13
Temperature extremes with altered characteristics are one of the most threatening impacts of global warming. How their characteristics have changed is uncertain, and varies by region. Here we analyse ERA5 reanalysis data for the period 1980 to 2018 to illuminate the spatio-temporal characteristics o...
Climate-change impactsGeographyNatural hazards
10.1038/S43247-022-00404-X
ISSN:2662-4435

Global asymmetries in the moisture origins of atmospheric river precipitation

Alfredo Crespo-OteroDamián Insua-CostaVictoria M. H. DemanEmilio Hernández-GarcíaCristóbal López6
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2026
2026/4/8
0
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are key agents of poleward heat and moisture transport, yet the extent to which tropical moisture directly feeds AR precipitation at higher latitudes remains debated. Here we present a forty-year global climatology of moisture sources for AR-related precipitation, combining ...
Climate sciencesHydrology
10.1038/S41612-026-01408-6
ISSN:2397-3722

Moist orographic gravity wave drag parameterization reduces the bias of summer rainfall over the Tibetan Plateau

Yingjie WangXin XuXiangrong YangPeng WeiCongyuan Li7
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
2025/11/17
Vol.8 No.1 p.3670
Summer precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) significantly affects the regional and global climate. In this paper, the orographic gravity wave drag (OGWD) parameterization is revised by incorporating the moisture effect of saturated air into the Weather Research and Forecasting model. Seasonal...
Atmospheric dynamicsAtmospheric scienceClimate sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-01245-Z
ISSN:2397-3722

Time persistence of climate and carbon flux networks

Ting QingFan WangQiuyue LiGaogao DongLixin Tian6
Communications Physics
2024
2024/11/16
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-10
The persistence of the global climate system is critical for assuring the sustainability of the natural ecosystem. However, persistence at a network level has been rarely discussed. Here we develop a framework to analyze the time persistence of the yearly networks of climate and carbon flux, based o...
Complex networksStatistical physics
10.1038/S42005-024-01862-9
ISSN:2399-3650

Stratospheric impact on subseasonal forecast uncertainty in the Northern extratropics

Jonas SpaethPhilip RuppHella GarnyThomas Birner
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/3/14
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-7
Extreme states of the polar stratospheric circulation during winter tend to be followed by anomalies in the near-surface circulation for several weeks, especially over the North Atlantic/Eurasia (NAE) sector. Previous research has highlighted an associated robust increase in subseasonal to seasonal ...
Atmospheric dynamicsEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43247-024-01292-Z
ISSN:2662-4435

Stratospheric water vapor affecting atmospheric circulation

Edward CharlesworthFelix PlögerThomas BirnerRasul BaikhadzhaevMarta Abalos19
Nature Communications
2023
2023/7/3
Vol.14 No.1 p.1-9
Water vapor plays an important role in many aspects of the climate system, by affecting radiation, cloud formation, atmospheric chemistry and dynamics. Even the low stratospheric water vapor content provides an important climate feedback, but current climate models show a substantial moist bias in t...
Atmospheric dynamics
10.1038/S41467-023-39559-2
ISSN:2041-1723

Causal pathways underlying global soil moisture–precipitation coupling

Jing SunKun YangXiaogang HeGuiling WangYong Wang7
Nature Communications
2025
2025/10/8
Vol.16 No.1 p.1-10
Surface soil moisture–precipitation (SSM–P) coupling involves complex processes, with sensible heat (SH) and evapotranspiration as important mediators. However, these coupling pathways and their underlying mechanisms across the globe remain unclear, limiting hydrometeorological predictions and proje...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate and Earth system modellingHydrology
10.1038/S41467-025-63999-7
ISSN:2041-1723

Dominant role of vertical air flows in the unprecedented warming on the Antarctic Peninsula in February 2020

Min XuLejiang YuKaixin LiangTimo VihmaDeniz Bozkurt7
Communications Earth & Environment
2021
2021/6/24
Vol.2 No.1 p.1-9
Near-surface air temperature at the Argentinian research base Esperanza on the northern tip of the Antarctic Peninsula reached 18.3 °C on 6 February 2020, which is the highest temperature ever recorded on the entire Antarctic continent. Here we use weather observations since 1973 together with the E...
Atmospheric dynamicsCryospheric science
10.1038/S43247-021-00203-W
ISSN:2662-4435

Bureaucrat incentives reduce crop burning and child mortality in South Asia

Gemma DipoppaSaad Gulzar
Nature
2024
2024/10/23
00 p.1-7
Air pollution in South Asia is a health emergency, responsible for 2 million deaths every year1. Crop residue burning accounts for 40–60% of peak pollution during the winter harvest months2,3. Despite being illegal, this practice remains widespread4,5. Any solution to curb the problem necessitates g...
Environmental economicsEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S41586-024-08046-Z
ISSN:0028-0836

Anthropogenic climate change doubled the frequency of compound drought and heatwaves in low-income regions

Boen ZhangShuo WangLouise Slater
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/11/19
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-8
Compound drought-heatwaves have garnered widespread attention due to their catastrophic consequences. However, little research has investigated inequalities in exposure to compound drought-heatwaves under climate change. Here, we reveal a significant disparity between low-income and high-income regi...
Climate changeClimate sciences
10.1038/S43247-024-01894-7
ISSN:2662-4435

Significance of Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies to Arctic sea ice variability revealed by deep learning

Yanqin LiBolan GanRuichen ZhuXianyao ChenYingzhe Cui7
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2026
2026/2/4
Vol.9 No.1 p.700
Arctic sea ice has undergone dramatic changes over the past four decades, leading to far-reaching climate impacts. Anomalous sea surface temperature (SST) in the extra-polar oceans is recognized as one of the principal drivers of Arctic sea ice variability. However, the relative importance of SST an...
Climate sciencesOcean sciences
10.1038/S41612-026-01347-2
ISSN:2397-3722

Sustainable global irrigation expansion could support only two-thirds of croplands under 1.5 °C and 3 °C warming

Liyin HeLorenzo Rosa
Nature Food
2026
2026/4/23
Vol.7 No.4 p.369-380
As climate warming exacerbates heat stress, promoting irrigation as a climate adaptation strategy can mitigate adverse impacts on agricultural productivity. Here we use global crop and irrigation datasets in conjunction with climate models to show that sustaining wheat, maize, rice and barley produc...
AgricultureClimate-change mitigationHydrologyWater resources
10.1038/S43016-026-01338-9
ISSN:2662-1355

The diurnal variation of wet bulb temperatures and exceedance of physiological thresholds relevant to human health in South Asia

Jenix JustineJoy Merwin MonteiroHardik ShahNeethi Rao
Communications Earth & Environment
2023
2023/7/6
Vol.4 No.1 p.1-11
Extreme heat is increasingly being acknowledged as a serious hazard to human health, through a combination of physiological responses to heat, expressed as dry and wet bulb temperatures, and personal factors. Here we present an analysis of the diurnal variability of dry and wet bulb temperatures usi...
Atmospheric dynamicsEnvironmental healthNatural hazards
10.1038/S43247-023-00897-0
ISSN:2662-4435

Regional extreme Antarctic sea-ice retreat linked to tropical forcing

Kaixin LiangJinfei WangHao LuoKyle R. ClemRui Zhong6
Communications Earth & Environment
2026
2026/4/15
Vol.7 No.1 p.3370
While previous studies have focused on monthly-to-decadal drivers of recent Antarctic sea-ice change, the role of short-lived extreme events remains unclear. Here we investigate extreme Antarctic sea-ice reduction events over 1979–2022 using observations and reanalyses, focusing on the warm sea-ice ...
Atmospheric dynamicsAttributionCryospheric science
10.1038/S43247-026-03488-X
ISSN:2662-4435

Deriving PM2.5 from satellite observations with spatiotemporally weighted tree-based algorithms: enhancing modeling accuracy and interpretability

Tongwen LiYuan WangJingan Wu
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
2024/6/18
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-9
Tree-based machine learning algorithms, such as random forest, have emerged as effective tools for estimating fine particulate matter (PM2.5) from satellite observations. However, they typically have unchanged model structures and configurations over time and space, and thus may not fully capture th...
Climate changeEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S41612-024-00692-4
ISSN:2397-3722

Soil moisture gradients strengthen mesoscale convective systems by increasing wind shear

Emma J. BartonCornelia KleinChristopher M. TaylorJohn MarshamDouglas J. Parker8
Nature Geoscience
2025
2025/4/4
Vol.18 No.4 p.330-336
Mesoscale convective systems are a class of storm linked to extensive flooding and other destructive hazards in many regions globally. In West Africa, soil moisture impacts provide a valuable source of predictability for mature storm hazards, but little is known about mature storm sensitivity to soi...
Atmospheric dynamicsNatural hazards
10.1038/S41561-025-01666-8
ISSN:1752-0894

Improved seamless mapping of surface O3 concentrations using an integrated deep learning framework

Tongwen LiJingan WuYuan WangYuenong Su
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
2025/3/28
Vol.8 No.1 p.1-10
Satellite-derived ozone (O3) data often contain spatial gaps due to factors such as cloud cover. To achieve seamless O3 mapping, researchers typically either reconstructed the missing satellite input data before the O3 inversion or reconstructed the missing O3 data after inversion. Unlike previous s...
Atmospheric scienceEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S41612-025-01007-X
ISSN:2397-3722

Challenges in assessing Fire Weather changes in a warming climate

Aurora MatteoGinés Garnés-MoralesAlberto MorenoAndreia F. S. RibeiroCesar Azorin-Molina13
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
2025/7/28
Vol.8 No.1 p.1-8
The Canadian Fire Weather Index (FWI), widely used to assess wildfire danger, typically relies on noon-specific meteorological data. However, climate models often provide only daily aggregated values, posing a challenge for accurate FWI calculations. We evaluated daily approximations for FWI95d—the ...
Climate changeClimate-change impactsClimate sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-01163-0
ISSN:2397-3722

Amplified temperature sensitivity of extreme precipitation events following heat stress

Zhiling ZhouLiping ZhangQin ZhangHui CaoHairong Zhang9
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
2024/10/10
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-13
This study investigates global extreme precipitation events (EPEs) during warm seasons, with a particular focus on EPEs preceded by extreme heat stress (EPE-Hs) and a comparative analysis with those not (EPE-NHs). Using reanalysis product and Earth System Model data, the spatiotemporal characteristi...
Climate changeProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41612-024-00796-X
ISSN:2397-3722

Arctic weather variability and connectivity

Jun MengJingfang FanUma S. BhattJürgen Kurths
Nature Communications
2023
2023/10/18
Vol.14 No.1 p.1-11
The Arctic’s rapid sea ice decline may influence global weather patterns, making the understanding of Arctic weather variability (WV) vital for accurate weather forecasting and analyzing extreme weather events. Quantifying this WV and its impacts under human-induced climate change remains a challeng...
Climate changeComplex networks
10.1038/S41467-023-42351-X
ISSN:2041-1723

Reduced and smaller phytoplankton during marine heatwaves in eastern boundary upwelling systems

Weikang ZhanMing FengYing ZhangXinchen ShenHaigang Zhan6
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
2024/10/25
Vol.5 No.1 p.1-11
Marine heatwaves have attracted great attention for their devastating impacts on marine organisms. However, the influence of marine heatwaves on phytoplankton community structure, a key aspect of pelagic ecosystems, remains elusive, especially in the biologically productive eastern boundary upwellin...
Food websMarine biologyOcean sciencesPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S43247-024-01805-W
ISSN:2662-4435

Changing Northern Hemisphere weather linked to warming amplification in High Mountain Asia

Yongkun XieJianping HuangGuoxiong WuJiaqin MiYimin Liu8
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/11/19
Vol.6 No.1 p.9320
High Mountain Asia is a global warming hotspot, yet its influence on Northern Hemisphere extreme weather-related synoptic temperature variability remains unclear. Combining observations and numerical model simulations, we show that amplified High Mountain Asia warming has substantially enhanced summ...
Atmospheric dynamicsAttribution
10.1038/S43247-025-02883-0
ISSN:2662-4435

The phase change in the annual cycle of sea surface temperature

Fucheng YangZhaohua Wu
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
2024/2/27
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-8
In recent decades, many research efforts focused on global climate change, multidecadal, decadal, interannual variability, and the increasing extreme events of sea surface temperature. In contrast, the continuous evolution of the reference frame, the annual cycle of SST used to quantify the aforemen...
Atmospheric dynamicsAttribution
10.1038/S41612-024-00591-8
ISSN:2397-3722

Thick and old sea ice in the Beaufort Sea during summer 2020/21 was associated with enhanced transport

Moore G.W.K.Steele MichaelSchweiger Axel J.Zhang JinlunLaidre Kristin L.
Communications Earth & Environment
2022
2022/8/30
Vol.3 No.1 p.1-11
The Arctic Ocean has seen a remarkable reduction in sea ice coverage, thickness and age since the 1980s. These changes are most pronounced in the Beaufort Sea, with a transition around 2007 from a regime dominated by multi-year sea ice to one with large expanses of open water during the summer. Usin...
Cryospheric scienceMarine mammalsPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S43247-022-00530-6
ISSN:2662-4435

Global performance benchmarking of artificial intelligence models in atmospheric river forecasting

Lujia ZhangMengqian LuQing BaoYang ZhaoJing Yang
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/11/13
Vol.6 No.1 p.8940
The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence models is expanding the frontiers of weather forecasting, underscoring the need for comprehensive evaluations in specific applications to ensure their effective use and guide future development. Here we benchmark five state-of-the-art artificial intel...
Atmospheric scienceClimate sciences
10.1038/S43247-025-02823-Y
ISSN:2662-4435

Pronounced spatial disparity of projected heatwave changes linked to heat domes and land-atmosphere coupling

Fenying CaiCaihong LiuDieter GertenSong YangTuantuan Zhang7
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
2024/9/30
Vol.7 No.1 p.1-9
Heatwaves are projected to substantially increase at a global scale, exacerbating worldwide heat-related risks in the future. However, understanding future heterogeneous heatwave changes and their origins remains challenging. By analyzing the output of various climate models from the Coupled Model I...
Atmospheric scienceProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41612-024-00779-Y
ISSN:2397-3722

Contrasting trends in very large hail events and related economic losses across the globe

Francesco BattaglioliMateusz TaszarekPieter GroenemeijerTomáš PúčikAnja Rädler
Nature Geoscience
2025
2025/12/29
00 p.1-7
Hailstorms producing hail larger than 5 cm cause the most severe damage to property and infrastructure, often leading to multibillion-dollar losses. Here we develop a global climatology of these very large hail events from 1950 to 2023 by combining statistical modelling with atmospheric reanalysis a...
Climate changeNatural hazards
10.1038/S41561-025-01868-0
ISSN:1752-0894

Atmospheric rivers that make landfall in India are associated with flooding

Mahto Shanti ShwarupNayak Munir AhmadLettenmaier Dennis P.Mishra Vimal
Communications Earth & Environment
2023
2023/4/14
Vol.4 No.1 p.1-10
Atmospheric rivers often cause extreme precipitation at landfall, leading to floods. However, the underlying physical mechanism of atmospheric rivers and their linkage with flooding in India remain unrecognized. Here we use reanalysis and observations to diagnose the drivers of atmospheric rivers an...
Hydrology
10.1038/S43247-023-00775-9
ISSN:2662-4435

Transiting consolidated ice strongly influenced polynya area during a shrink event in Terra Nova Bay in 2013

Lin YichenYang QinghuaMazloeff MatthewWu XingrenTian-Kunze Xiangshan8
Communications Earth & Environment
2023
2023/2/28
Vol.4 No.1 p.1-11
Coastal polynyas in Antarctica are a window of air-sea energy exchange and an important source of Antarctic Bottom Water production. However, the relationship between the polynya area variation and the surrounding marine environment is yet to be fully understood. Here we quantify the influence of th...
Cryospheric sciencePhysical oceanography
10.1038/S43247-023-00712-W
ISSN:2662-4435

The influence of the Asian summer monsoon on volcanic aerosol transport in the UTLS region

Wu XueQiao QiChen BingWang XinHoffmann Lars8
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
2023/2/21
Vol.6 No.1 p.1-8
This study analyses the influence of the Asian summer monsoon on volcanic aerosol transport. Realistic, altitude-resolved SO2 emissions of a middle-latitude volcanic eruption (Sarychev 2009) and a tropical volcanic eruption (Nabro 2011) were retrieved and used to initialize the simulations of the lo...
Atmospheric chemistryAtmospheric dynamics
10.1038/S41612-023-00339-W
ISSN:2397-3722

Large-scale aggregation of humid heatwaves exacerbated by coastal oceanic warming

Fenying CaiDieter GertenKeer ZhangTuantuan ZhangSong Yang6
Nature Geoscience
2026
2026/3/24
00 p.1-7
Large-scale concurrences of humid heatwaves substantially escalate the risks of heat-related mortality. However, quantifying the origins of these concurrent extremes remains challenging. Here we use a complex network approach applied to climate reanalysis data to show that the observed intensificati...
Atmospheric scienceClimate change
10.1038/S41561-026-01952-Z
ISSN:1752-0894

Response time of global deltas to changes in fluvial sediment supply

Jie WangZhijun DaiXuefei MeiHuan-Feng DuanJaap H. Nienhuis
Nature Communications
2025
2025/7/1
Vol.16 No.1 p.1-11
Fluvial sediment supply supports global delta growth, yet the relationship between these two key variables remains difficult to verify for modern river deltas. Part of the complication might be that deltas are slow to adjust to changes in fluvial sediment supply. To test this hypothesis, here we ana...
GeomorphologyHydrologyPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41467-025-60531-9
ISSN:2041-1723

Global coastal water clarity has increased due to human intervention

Fengqin YanBin HeVincent LyneRong FanYikun Cui12
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/8/7
Vol.6 No.1 p.1-8
Climate change and human activity are reshaping coastal systems, yet global impacts on water clarity remain poorly quantified. Here we leverage remote sensing big data to develop a global model of coastal suspended particulate matter across continental coastal waters, and show that global coastal su...
Climate and Earth system modellingClimate-change impactsEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43247-025-02638-X
ISSN:2662-4435

Sea surface height variability shapes Siberian Arctic Ocean circulation and Pacific Water inflow

Taewook ParkKyoung-Ho ChoEunho LeeIgor V. PolyakovEun Jin Yang
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2026
2026/4/1
Vol.9 No.1 p.960
The Siberian Arctic Ocean links river runoff, sea ice, and Pacific–Atlantic exchanges, yet the drivers of its circulation variability remain poorly constrained. Using multi-decadal satellite altimetry, ocean reanalysis products, and in situ observations with cyclostationary empirical orthogonal func...
Climate sciencesOcean sciences
10.1038/S41612-026-01393-W
ISSN:2397-3722

Drivers and Impacts of the Record-Breaking 2023 Wildfire Season in Canada

Piyush JainQuinn E. BarberStephen W. TaylorEllen WhitmanDante Castellanos Acuna18
Nature Communications
2024
2024/8/20
Vol.15 No.1 p.1-14
The 2023 wildfire season in Canada was unprecedented in its scale and intensity, spanning from mid-April to late October and across much of the forested regions of Canada. Here, we summarize the main causes and impacts of this exceptional season. The record-breaking total area burned (~15 Mha) can b...
Forest ecologyNatural hazards
10.1038/S41467-024-51154-7
ISSN:2041-1723

A global view on microphysical discriminations between heavier and lighter convective rainfall

Ruizi ShiChunsong LuWeixin XuYali Luo
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
2025/7/1
Vol.6 No.1 p.1-10
The weak linkage between heavy rainfall and strong convection hampers predictability of extreme precipitation and hinders efforts to address challenges related to global warming, especially given unclear microphysical differences between convective clouds generating disparate rain rates. Using multi...
Atmospheric dynamicsEnvironmental impactProjection and prediction
10.1038/S43247-025-02473-0
ISSN:2662-4435

Contrary effects of soil moisture-atmosphere feedback on dry and humid heatwaves

Sisi ChenPeng JiShanshui YuanQibo XuChunhui Lu6
Nature Communications
2026
2026/3/3
Vol.17 No.1 p.26260
Although soil moisture-atmosphere feedback (SAF) has been widely recognized as a key driver of temperature extremes, its distinct impacts on dry and humid heatwaves remain insufficiently understood, largely due to previous studies focusing predominantly on dry heatwaves alone. In this study, we comb...
Atmospheric dynamicsAttributionHydrology
10.1038/S41467-026-70210-Y
ISSN:2041-1723