ESGF MetaGrid
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the Department of Energy ' s Vulnerability Disclosure Program
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相关论文
49Interdecadal shifts of ENSO influences on Spring Central Asian precipitation
Mengyuan Yao•Haosu Tang•Gang Huang•Renguang Wu
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
•2024/8/23
•Vol.7 No.1 p.1-11
Spring Central Asian precipitation (SCAP) holds significant implications for local agriculture and ecosystems, with its variability mainly modulated by El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The ENSO–SCAP relationship has experienced pronounced interdecadal shifts, though mechanisms remain elusive. Ba...
Atmospheric dynamicsHydrology
10.1038/S41612-024-00742-X
ISSN:2397-3722
Perspective on the shifting interannual variability of recent summer temperature modes in eastern China: Roles of Arctic sea-ice, Arctic Oscillation and Pakistan precipitation
Zeming Wu•Chundi Hu•Kuo Wang•Renguang Wu•Lifei Lin等 6 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/11/7
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-10
Extreme heat events are observed increasingly in eastern China during recent high-summer (July–August), yet their underlying mechanisms remain unclear. Here we reveal considerable changes in local interannual temperature variability, manifesting as the enhancing south-north uniform warming (SNUW) mo...
Climate sciencesEnvironmental sciencesOcean sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-01236-0
ISSN:2397-3722
Soil erosion and risk assessment on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau
Peijie Wei•Juanjuan Du•Ali Bahadur•Haoyue Zhang•Shijin Wang等 7 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
•2025/5/13
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-14
Soil erosion frequently occurs on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, including freeze-thaw, water, and wind erosion, seriously threatening ecological security and human well-being. However, comprehensive research on these three types of soil erosion in this region is still lacking so far. Here, we assesse...
Environmental healthEnvironmental impactSocioeconomic scenariosSustainability
10.1038/S43247-025-02355-5
ISSN:2662-4435
Substantial shift in phase and amplitude of Indian rainfall beyond 2100
Sahil Sharma•Kyung-Ja Ha•Keith B. Rodgers•Eui-Seok Chung•Sun-Seon Lee等 6 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/6/21
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-11
Future changes in rainfall over India are critically important, given their impact on millions of people and the country’s agriculture. However, most studies focus only on changes up to the year 2100, leaving long-term projections largely unexplored. In this study, we leverage a 10-member ensemble w...
Climate changeClimate-change impactsClimate-change mitigationClimate sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-01126-5
ISSN:2397-3722
Future Indian Ocean warming patterns
Sharma Sahil•Ha Kyung-Ja•Yamaguchi Ryohei•Rodgers Keith B.•Timmermann Axel等 6 人
Nature Communications
2023
•2023/3/30
•Vol.14 No.1 p.1-11
Most future projections conducted with coupled general circulation models simulate a non-uniform Indian Ocean warming, with warming hotspots occurring in the Arabian Sea (AS) and the southeastern Indian Ocean (SEIO). But little is known about the underlying physical drivers. Here, we are using a sui...
Atmospheric scienceClimate changeOcean sciences
10.1038/S41467-023-37435-7
ISSN:2041-1723
Noise-induced tipping of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation under climate mitigation scenarios
Ji-Hoon Oh•Jong-Seong Kug•Yechul Shin•Xin Geng•Sunhee Wang等 9 人
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/12/13
0Growing attention to decarbonization to limit global warming raises an important question of whether climate mitigation efforts could effectively prevent a potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a major tipping element in the climate system. Using CO2 stabiliza...
Atmospheric dynamicsPhysical oceanographyProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-025-66494-1
ISSN:2041-1723
Relative benefits of allocating land to bioenergy crops and forests vary by region
Irina Melnikova•Philippe Ciais•Katsumasa Tanaka•Nicolas Vuichard•Olivier Boucher
Communications Earth & Environment
2023
•2023/6/29
•Vol.4 No.1 p.1-12
Carbon dioxide removal is essential for achieving the Paris Agreement targets. Here we compare bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) and afforestation and reforestation in terms of their carbon removal potentials and impacts on carbon cycle and surface climate under an overshoot pathway ...
Climate and Earth system modellingEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43247-023-00866-7
ISSN:2662-4435
Stratospheric water vapor affecting atmospheric circulation
Edward Charlesworth•Felix Plöger•Thomas Birner•Rasul Baikhadzhaev•Marta Abalos等 19 人
Nature Communications
2023
•2023/7/3
•Vol.14 No.1 p.1-9
Water vapor plays an important role in many aspects of the climate system, by affecting radiation, cloud formation, atmospheric chemistry and dynamics. Even the low stratospheric water vapor content provides an important climate feedback, but current climate models show a substantial moist bias in t...
Atmospheric dynamics
10.1038/S41467-023-39559-2
ISSN:2041-1723
ENSO shapes salinity regimes and fish migration in the China Seas
Zhixuan Wang•Han Huang•Guizhi Wang•Tangdong Qu•Yue Liu等 13 人
Nature Climate Change
2026
•2026/2/13
•Vol.16 No.4 p.468-476
Salinity shapes ocean circulation and marine biogeography, yet its long-term spatiotemporal variability and ecological impacts in marginal seas remain poorly constrained. We reconstruct a high-resolution sea surface salinity dataset (2000–2020) for the China Seas using a machine learning framework t...
Climate-change impactsFisheriesMarine chemistryPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41558-026-02559-3
ISSN:1758-678X
Local meridional circulation changes contribute to a projected slowdown of the Indian Ocean Walker circulation
Sharma Sahil•Ha Kyung-Ja•Cai Wenju•Chung Eui-Seok•Bódai Tamás
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2022
•2022/3/8
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-9
The weakening of zonal atmospheric circulation, a widely accepted projection of climate change in response to global warming, features a weakening of the Indian Ocean Walker circulation (IWC), with an anomalous ascending motion over the western and anomalous descending motion over the eastern Indian...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate-change impacts
10.1038/S41612-022-00242-W
ISSN:2397-3722
China can be self-sufficient in maize production by 2030 with optimal crop management
Ning Luo•Qingfeng Meng•Puyu Feng•Ziren Qu•Yonghong Yu等 8 人
Nature Communications
2023
•2023/5/6
•Vol.14 No.1 p.1-11
Population growth and economic development in China has increased the demand for food and animal feed, raising questions regarding China’s future maize production self-sufficiency. Here, we address this challenge by combining data-driven projections with a machine learning method on data from 402 st...
AgroecologyAgriculturePlant ecology
10.1038/S41467-023-38355-2
ISSN:2041-1723
Counterbalancing influences of aerosols and greenhouse gases on atmospheric rivers
Baek Seung H.•Lora Juan M.
Nature Climate Change
2021
•2021/10/4
•00 p.1-8
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are filamentary conduits of intense water vapour transport in the extratropics, accounting for the majority of poleward moisture transport in the mid-latitudes and acting as a key precipitation source for coastal regions. How ARs have responded to climate change nevertheless...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate changeHydrology
10.1038/S41558-021-01166-8
ISSN:1758-678X
Targeted tropical forest restoration can offset deforestation-induced water flux losses
Shuai Ma•Sha Zhou•David Ellison•Arie Staal•Taylor Smith等 7 人
Nature Climate Change
2026
•2026/7/15
•00 p.1-9
Tropical forest restoration is increasingly promoted as a nature-based solution for climate change mitigation, yet its capacity to reverse the hydrological impacts of deforestation remains unclear. Here we show forest gain increases evapotranspiration and precipitation more than forest loss reduces ...
Forest ecologyHydrology
10.1038/S41558-026-02709-7
ISSN:1758-678X
Climate and traits drive bark decomposition patterns at global scale
Chenhui Chang•Jiayuan Liu•Biao Zhu•Gbadamassi G. O. Dossa•Wanqin Yang等 7 人
Nature Communications
2026
•2026/1/13
•Vol.17 No.1 p.2990
Tree bark represents a large global carbon stock, comprising 2-20 % of woody biomass, and plays a distinct role in carbon and nutrient cycling. It is poorly understood how different abiotic and biotic drivers contribute to bark decomposition globally, or how these relationships play out in a changin...
Ecosystem ecologyForest ecologyForestry
10.1038/S41467-025-68249-4
ISSN:2041-1723
A pause in the weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation since the early 2010s
Sang-Ki Lee•Dongmin Kim•Fabian A. Gomez•Hosmay Lopez•Denis L. Volkov等 8 人
Nature Communications
2024
•2024/12/6
•Vol.15 No.1 p.1-13
The current state-of-the-art climate models when combined together suggest that the anthropogenic weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) has already begun since the mid-1980s. However, continuous direct observational records during the past two decades have shown remarka...
AttributionPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41467-024-54903-W
ISSN:2041-1723
The biogeochemical transport by the Gulf Stream
Richard G. Williams•Peter J. Brown•Yohei Takano•Gaël Forget•Dani Jones等 8 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2026
•2026/2/12
•Vol.7 No.1 p.1490
The Gulf Stream is important for the climate system through its transport and air-sea exchange of heat. What is less well accepted is the role of the Gulf Stream in the carbon cycle. Here we examine how the Gulf Stream provides a “biogeochemical stream”, a sub-surface horizontal flux carrying waters...
Climate and Earth system modellingMarine chemistryPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S43247-025-03118-Y
ISSN:2662-4435
Coupled climate–land-use interactions modulate projected heatwave intensification across Africa
Oluwafemi E. Adeyeri•Kazeem Abiodun Ishola•Sodiq A. Ajadi•Bibian C. Ekot•Akinleye H. Folorunsho等 10 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2026
•2026/1/7
•Vol.7 No.1 p.850
Africa faces intensifying heatwave hazards with far-reaching impacts on health, agriculture, and economic stability. Here, we assess changes in heatwave attributes, including duration, frequency, timing, and intensity, across nine African regions using 10 global numerical climate model simulations, ...
Climate-change impactsClimate sciences
10.1038/S43247-025-03110-6
ISSN:2662-4435
Volcanic eruptions disrupt ENSO teleconnections with land summer temperature
Xu Zhang•Jinbao Li•Shang-Ping Xie•Fei Liu•Feng Shi等 8 人
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/11/10
•Vol.16 No.1 p.98820
The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a key ocean-atmospheric mode that affects global weather and climate through atmospheric teleconnections. It remains unclear how robust and stable ENSO teleconnection patterns are under external perturbations. Here, we use observations to demonstrate that v...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate and Earth system modellingPalaeoclimate
10.1038/S41467-025-64879-W
ISSN:2041-1723
Predictability of South-Asian monsoon rainfall beyond the legacy of Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere program (TOGA)
Goswami B. N.•Chakraborty Deepayan•Rajesh P. V.•Mitra Adway
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2022
•2022/7/11
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-12
In the backdrop of overwhelming evidences of associations between North-Atlantic (NA) sea-surface temperature (SST) and the Indian summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR), the lack of a quantitative nonlinear causal inference has been a roadblock for advancing ISMR predictability. Here, we advance a hypothes...
Atmospheric scienceHydrology
10.1038/S41612-022-00281-3
ISSN:2397-3722
Asymmetric hysteresis response of mid-latitude storm tracks to CO2 removal
Jaeyoung Hwang•Seok-Woo Son•Chaim I. Garfinkel•Tim Woollings•Hyunsuk Yoon等 10 人
Nature Climate Change
2024
•2024/3/21
•00 p.1-8
In a warming climate, storm tracks are projected to intensify on their poleward side. Here we use large-ensemble CO2 ramp-up and ramp-down simulations to show that these changes are not reversed when CO2 concentrations are reduced. If CO2 is removed from the atmosphere following CO2 increase, the No...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate change
10.1038/S41558-024-01971-X
ISSN:1758-678X
Hysteresis of the intertropical convergence zone to CO2 forcing
Kug Jong-Seong•Oh Ji-Hoon•An Soon-Il•Yeh Sang-Wook•Min Seung-Ki等 9 人
Nature Climate Change
2021
•2021/12/9
•00 p.1-7
With the unprecedented rate of global warming in recent decades, whether or not anthropogenic climate change is irreversible is an important question. Based on idealized CO2 ramp-up until 1,468 ppm and symmetric ramp-down model experiments, here we show that the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ)...
Atmospheric dynamicsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41558-021-01211-6
ISSN:1758-678X
Anthropogenic climate change has reduced drought recovery probabilities across the western US
Emily L. Williams•John T. Abatzoglou•Katherine C. Hegewisch•A. Park Williams
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
•2024/10/2
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-9
During drought, resource managers want to know when the drought will end to make informed management decisions. However, as anthropogenic climate change has intensified drought conditions, we hypothesize it has affected drought recovery. Here, we leverage monthly self-calibrating Palmer Drought Seve...
AttributionClimate-change impacts
10.1038/S43247-024-01640-Z
ISSN:2662-4435
Incorporating heat budget dynamics in a Transformer-based deep learning model for skillful ENSO prediction
Bin Mu•Yuehan Cui•Shijin Yuan•Bo Qin
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
•2024/9/6
•Vol.7 No.1 p.1-15
While deep learning models have shown promising capabilities in ENSO prediction, their inherent black-box nature often leads to a lack of physical consistency and interpretability. Here, we introduce ENSO-PhyNet, a Transformer-based model for ENSO prediction, which incorporates heat budget dynamical...
Mathematics and computingOcean sciences
10.1038/S41612-024-00741-Y
ISSN:2397-3722
Observation-based selection of climate models projects Arctic ice-free summers around 2035
David Docquier•Torben Koenigk
Communications Earth & Environment
2021
•2021/7/15
•Vol.2 No.1 p.1-8
Arctic sea ice has been retreating at an accelerating pace over the past decades. Model projections show that the Arctic Ocean could be almost ice free in summer by the middle of this century. However, the uncertainties related to these projections are relatively large. Here we use 33 global climate...
Climate and Earth system modellingCryospheric scienceProjection and prediction
10.1038/S43247-021-00214-7
ISSN:2662-4435
Stronger Arctic amplification from anthropogenic aerosols than from greenhouse gases
You-Ting Wu•Yu-Chiao Liang•Michael Previdi•Lorenzo M. Polvani•Mark R. England等 7 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
•2024/6/20
•Vol.7 No.1 p.1-7
Arctic amplification (AA), the greater Arctic surface warming compared to the global average, has been widely attributed to increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases (GHG). However, less is known about the impacts of other forcings - notably, anthropogenic aerosols (AER) - and how they may compa...
Climate changeCryospheric science
10.1038/S41612-024-00696-0
ISSN:2397-3722
Avoidable heat-related mortality in China during the 21st century
Guwei Zhang•Zhaobin Sun•Ling Han•Vedaste Iyakaremye•Zhiqi Xu等 7 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
•2023/7/8
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-12
Using non-accidental mortality records from 195 sites and 11 model simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6, we assessed future avoidable heat-related deaths associated with emission mitigation after accounting for population changes in China. Without human-induced climate ...
Atmospheric dynamicsEnvironmental health
10.1038/S41612-023-00404-4
ISSN:2397-3722
Deep ocean warming-induced El Niño changes
Geon-Il Kim•Ji-Hoon Oh•Na-Yeon Shin•Soon-Il An•Sang-Wook Yeh等 7 人
Nature Communications
2024
•2024/7/23
•Vol.15 No.1 p.1-8
The deep ocean, a vast thermal reservoir, absorbs excess heat under greenhouse warming, which ultimately regulates the Earth’s surface climate. Even if CO2 emissions are successfully reduced, the stored heat will gradually be released, resulting in a particular pattern of ocean warming. Here, we sho...
Climate and Earth system modellingPhysical oceanographyProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-024-50663-9
ISSN:2041-1723
Muted extratropical low cloud seasonal cycle is closely linked to underestimated climate sensitivity in models
Xianan Jiang•Hui Su•Jonathan H. Jiang•J. David Neelin•Longtao Wu等 7 人
Nature Communications
2023
•2023/9/11
•Vol.14 No.1 p.1-11
A large spread in model estimates of the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), defined as the global mean near-surface air-temperature increase following a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration, leaves us greatly disadvantaged in guiding policy-making for climate change adaptation and mitigatio...
Climate and Earth system modellingProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-023-41360-0
ISSN:2041-1723
Historical changes in wind-driven ocean circulation drive pattern of Pacific warming
Shuo Fu•Shineng Hu•Xiao-Tong Zheng•Kay McMonigal•Sarah Larson等 6 人
Nature Communications
2024
•2024/2/20
•Vol.15 No.1 p.1-9
The tropical Pacific warming pattern since the 1950s exhibits two warming centers in the western Pacific (WP) and eastern Pacific (EP), encompassing an equatorial central Pacific (CP) cooling and a hemispheric asymmetry in the subtropical EP. The underlying mechanisms of this warming pattern remain ...
Climate and Earth system modellingClimate changeClimate-change impacts
10.1038/S41467-024-45677-2
ISSN:2041-1723
Changes in global DMS production driven by increased CO2 levels and its impact on radiative forcing
Junri Zhao•Yan Zhang•Shujun Bie•Kelsey R. Bilsback•Jeffrey R. Pierce等 6 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2024
•2024/1/12
•Vol.7 No.1 p.1-8
Our study highlights the importance of understanding the future changes in dimethyl-sulfide (DMS), the largest natural sulfur source, in the context of ocean acidification driven by elevated CO2 levels. We found a strong negative correlation (R2 = 0.89) between the partial pressure of carbon dioxide...
Environmental impactProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41612-024-00563-Y
ISSN:2397-3722
Stronger ENSO-induced global SST variability in a warming climate
Seung-Jae Hong•Geon-Il Kim•Yechul Shin•Tomoki Iwakiri•Jong-Seong Kug
Nature Communications
2026
•2026/3/19
0The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a leading mode of interannual climate variability with far-reaching global impacts. Understanding how ENSO-driven changes evolve in a warming climate is essential to project future climate variability. Here, we show that climate models robustly project an a...
Atmospheric dynamicsPhysical oceanographyProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-026-70140-9
ISSN:2041-1723
Tropical-leaning Atlantic Oscillation favors more typhoons toward Asian high-latitude cities
Zeming Wu•Chundi Hu•Wenju Cai•Chengyang Zhang•Tao Lian等 9 人
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/12/31
0Poleward migration of Northwest Pacific typhoons brings severe impacts on East Asian high-latitude cities, yet early typhoon climate prediction remains a long-standing scientific challenge. Here we reveal a seemingly-familiar-yet-strange climate oscillation phenomenon, which we name Tropical-le...
Atmospheric dynamicsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-025-67946-4
ISSN:2041-1723
Scattering and absorbing aerosols in the climate system
Li Jing•Carlson Barbara E.•Yung Yuk L.•Lv Daren•Hansen James等 15 人
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
2022
•2022/5/24
•00 p.1-17
Tropospheric anthropogenic aerosols contribute the second-largest forcing to climate change, but with high uncertainty owing to their spatio-temporal variability and complicated optical properties. In this Review, we synthesize understanding of aerosol observations and their radiative and climate ef...
Atmospheric chemistryAttribution
10.1038/S43017-022-00296-7
ISSN:2662-138X
Emergent climate change patterns originating from deep ocean warming in climate mitigation scenarios
Ji-Hoon Oh•Jong-Seong Kug•Soon-Il An•Fei-Fei Jin•Michael J. McPhaden等 6 人
Nature Climate Change
2024
•2024/2/1
•00 p.1-7
The global oceans absorb most of the surplus heat from anthropogenic warming, but it is unclear how this heat accumulation will affect the Earth’s climate under climate mitigation scenarios. Here we show that this stored heat will be released at a much slower rate than its accumulation, resulting in...
Climate and Earth system modellingPhysical oceanographyProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41558-024-01928-0
ISSN:1758-678X
Widespread societal and ecological impacts from projected Tibetan Plateau lake expansion
Fenglin Xu•Guoqing Zhang•R. Iestyn Woolway•Kun Yang•Yoshihide Wada等 7 人
Nature Geoscience
2024
•2024/5/27
•Vol.17 No.6 p.516-523
Lakes on the Tibetan Plateau are expanding rapidly in response to climate change. The potential impact on the local environment if lake expansion continues remains uncertain. Here we integrate field surveys, remote sensing observations and numerical modelling to assess future changes in lake surface...
Climate-change impactsHydrologyNatural hazardsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41561-024-01446-W
ISSN:1752-0894
Urbanization is projected to increase local surface temperature by 2100
Shirao Liu•Xuecao Li•Zitong Shi•Mengqing Geng•Guojiang Yu等 6 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
•2025/12/2
•Vol.6 No.1 p.9880
Future projection of global land surface temperature often emphasizes climate change while neglecting urbanization. Yet, urbanization-induced warming strongly influences heatwave-related health risks and energy demands. Here, we developed a 1-km resolution global land surface temperature dataset for...
GeographySustainability
10.1038/S43247-025-02947-1
ISSN:2662-4435
Human-induced intensification of sea surface temperature regime shifts threatens global Large Marine Ecosystems
Qinwang Xing•Zihui Gao•Shin-ichi Ito•Haiqing Yu•Wei Yu等 6 人
Nature Communications
2026
•2026/3/19
0Global oceans have warmed markedly and will continue to do so. Superimposed on this trend are abrupt, persistent decadal regime shifts between warm and cold phases that alter ocean–atmosphere dynamics and reshape ecosystem composition and function. Despite recognition of the increasing risk of irrev...
BiooceanographyOcean sciencesProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-026-70986-Z
ISSN:2041-1723
Tree species richness relates to long-term forest photosynthesis increase
Ruochen Cao•Yongguang Zhang•Alessandro Cescatti•Philippe Ciais•Jordi Sardans等 10 人
Nature Climate Change
2026
•2026/7/27
•00 p.1-9
The widespread increase in vegetation productivity plays an important role in enhancing ecosystem carbon uptake. While it is well established that biodiversity increases ecosystem productivity, its influence on long-term changes in photosynthesis remains unclear. Here we integrate a high-resolution ...
BiodiversityClimate and Earth system modellingClimate-change ecology
10.1038/S41558-026-02698-7
ISSN:1758-678X
Reply to: No evidence of worsening Arctic springtime ozone losses over the 21st century
von der Gathen Peter•Kivi Rigel•Wohltmann Ingo•Salawitch Ross J.•Rex Markus
Nature Communications
2023
•2023/3/24
•Vol.14 No.1 p.1-4
Atmospheric chemistryAtmospheric dynamics
10.1038/S41467-023-37135-2
ISSN:2041-1723
Global response of upper-level aviation turbulence from various sources to climate change
Soo-Hyun Kim•Jung-Hoon Kim•Hye-Yeong Chun•Robert D. Sharman
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
•2023/7/14
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-12
Atmospheric turbulence at commercial aircraft cruising altitudes is a main threat to aviation safety worldwide. As the air transport industry expands and is continuously growing, investigating global response of aviation turbulence under climate change scenarios is required for preparing optimal and...
Atmospheric scienceEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S41612-023-00421-3
ISSN:2397-3722
Observationally constrained global warming hysteresis under CO2 removal
Se-Yong Song•Duo Chan•Sang-Wook Yeh
Communications Earth & Environment
2026
•2026/4/9
0Stabilizing global warming under ongoing anthropogenic warming will likely require atmospheric carbon dioxide removal. However, the extent to which carbon dioxide removal can reverse past warming remains uncertain due to divergent responses across a limited set of models. Here, we develop a data-dri...
Climate changeClimate sciences
10.1038/S43247-026-03484-1
ISSN:2662-4435
Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone
Peter von der Gathen•Rigel Kivi•Ingo Wohltmann•Ross J. Salawitch•Markus Rex
Nature Communications
2021
•2021/6/23
•Vol.12 No.1 p.1-17
Chemical loss of Arctic ozone due to anthropogenic halogens is driven by temperature, with more loss occurring during cold winters favourable for formation of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs). We show that a positive, statistically significant rise in the local maxima of PSC formation potential (PF...
Atmospheric chemistryAtmospheric dynamicsClimate and Earth system modellingProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41467-021-24089-6
ISSN:2041-1723
Asymmetries in the Southern Ocean contribution to global heat and carbon uptake
Richard G. Williams•Andrew J. S. Meijers•Vassil M. Roussenov•Anna Katavouta•Paulo Ceppi等 7 人
Nature Climate Change
2024
•2024/7/24
•Vol.14 No.8 p.823-831
The Southern Ocean provides dominant contributions to global ocean heat and carbon uptake, which is widely interpreted as resulting from its unique upwelling and circulation. Here we show a large asymmetry in these contributions, with the Southern Ocean accounting for 83 ± 33% of global heat uptake ...
Climate and Earth system modellingClimate-change impactsPhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41558-024-02066-3
ISSN:1758-678X
Exogenous moisture deficit fuels drought risks across China
Gang Wang•Qiang Zhang•Yadu Pokhrel•Daniel Farinotti•Jida Wang等 7 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2023
•2023/12/21
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-9
Intensifying droughts under climatic warming are of widespread concern owing to their devastating impacts on water resources, societies and ecosystems. However, the effects of exogeneous drivers on regional droughts remain poorly understood. Using the Lagrangian method, atmospheric reanalysis data a...
Atmospheric scienceClimate changeClimate sciences
10.1038/S41612-023-00543-8
ISSN:2397-3722
Malaria transmission risk is projected to increase in the highlands of Western and Northern Rwanda
Lian Zong•Jean Paul Ngarukiyimana•Yuanjian Yang•Steve H. L. Yim•Yi Zhou等 11 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
•2024/10/3
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-9
Malaria is one of the major health threats in Africa, and the risk of transmission is projected to be exacerbated by global warming. Rwanda experienced an 11-fold increase in malaria incidence from 2011 to 2015 despite extensive funding and implementation of control measures. Here, we focus on Rwand...
Environmental healthEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43247-024-01717-9
ISSN:2662-4435
Biodiversity buffers the response of spring leaf unfolding to climate warming
Pengju Shen•Xiaoyue Wang•Constantin M. Zohner•Josep Peñuelas•Yuyu Zhou等 13 人
Nature Climate Change
2024
•2024/6/21
•00 p.1-6
Understanding the sensitivity of spring leaf-out dates to temperature (ST) is integral to predicting phenological responses to climate warming and the consequences for global biogeochemical cycles. While variation in ST has been shown to be influenced by local climate adaptations, the impact of biod...
Climate-change mitigationPhenology
10.1038/S41558-024-02035-W
ISSN:1758-678X
Drivers of exceptional coastal warming in the northeastern United States
Karmalkar Ambarish V.•Horton Radley M.
Nature Climate Change
2021
•2021/9/23
•00 p.1-7
The northeastern United States (NEUS) and the adjacent Northwest Atlantic Shelf (NWS) have emerged as warming hotspots, but the connection between them remains unexplored. Here we use gridded observational and reanalysis datasets to show that the twentieth-century surface air temperature increase al...
Atmospheric dynamicsClimate changePhysical oceanography
10.1038/S41558-021-01159-7
ISSN:1758-678X
Climate benefits of lake nutrient management in China
Feng Zhao•Qirui Wang•Zhao Huang•Wei Zhi•Jiawen Xie等 9 人
Nature Geoscience
2026
•2026/4/28
•00 p.1-8
Anthropogenic nutrient discharges drive lake eutrophication and can consequently enhance greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, amplifying climate change. Managing nutrient levels can substantially reduce GHG emissions from lakes, yet the climate benefits and the cost-effectiveness of managing diverse nutr...
Climate-change mitigationLimnology
10.1038/S41561-026-01971-W
ISSN:1752-0894
Heatwave–blocking relation change likely dominates over decrease in blocking frequency under global warming
Chan Pak Wah•Catto Jennifer L.•Collins Matthew
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2022
•2022/9/1
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-8
Extra-tropical continental summer heatwaves often occur under persistent anticyclones or blocking. Here we partition heatwave changes into contributions from blocking changes, heatwave–blocking relation change and mean temperature increase, under global warming in climate models. We employ an optimi...
Atmospheric dynamicsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41612-022-00290-2
ISSN:2397-3722