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相关论文
36Optimal climate intervention scenarios for crop production vary by nation
Brendan Clark•Lili Xia•Alan Robock•Simone Tilmes•Jadwiga H. Richter等 7 人
Nature Food
2023
•2023/10/5
•Vol.4 No.10 p.902-911
Stratospheric aerosol intervention (SAI) is a proposed strategy to reduce the effects of anthropogenic climate change. There are many temperature targets that could be chosen for a SAI implementation, which would regionally modify climatically relevant variables such as surface temperature, precipit...
Atmospheric scienceEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43016-023-00853-3
ISSN:2662-1355
Forced labour risk is pervasive in the US land-based food supply
Nicole Tichenor Blackstone•Edgar Rodríguez-Huerta•Kyra Battaglia•Bethany Jackson•Erin Jackson等 7 人
Nature Food
2023
•2023/7/24
•Vol.4 No.7 p.596-606
Social risk assessments and case studies of labour conditions in food production primarily focus on specific subpopulations, regions and commodities. To date, research has not systematically assessed labour conditions against international standards across diverse, complex food products. Here we com...
AgricultureBusiness and management
10.1038/S43016-023-00794-X
ISSN:2662-1355
Enhanced mitigation in nutrient surplus driven by multilateral crop trade patterns
Lu Hongwei•Feng Wei•Yan Pengdong•Kang Jiajie•Jiang Chunfang等 10 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2022
•2022/11/23
•Vol.3 No.1 p.1-10
Multilateral crop trade is likely to drive enhancement or mitigation of nutrient surpluses of the trading countries; however, the driving mechanisms are unclear. Here we explore the effects of multilateral crop trade on nitrogen and phosphorus surpluses based on two optimal multilateral crop trade m...
Environmental economicsEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43247-022-00623-2
ISSN:2662-4435
Adoption of plant-based diets across Europe can improve food resilience against the Russia–Ukraine conflict
Sun Zhongxiao•Scherer Laura•Zhang Qian•Behrens Paul
Nature Food
2022
•2022/11/14
•Vol.3 No.11 p.905-910
Crises related to extreme weather events, COVID-19 and the Russia–Ukraine conflict have revealed serious problems in global food (inter)dependency. Here we demonstrate that a transition towards the EAT-Lancet’s planetary health diet in the European Union and the United Kingdom alone would almost com...
Interdisciplinary studiesSustainability
10.1038/S43016-022-00634-4
ISSN:2662-1355
Unequal impact of climate warming on meat yields of global cattle farming
Weihang Liu•Junxiong Zhou•Yuchi Ma•Shuo Chen•Yuchuan Luo
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
•2024/2/3
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-10
Climate warming affects global livestock productivity. The meat yield from cattle farming (cattle meat per animal) represents livestock productivity at the individual level. However, the impact of warming on cattle meat yield at a global scale is not well understood. In this study, we combine countr...
AgricultureEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43247-024-01232-X
ISSN:2662-4435
Compliance with EAT–Lancet dietary guidelines would reduce global water footprint but increase it for 40% of the world population
Tuninetti Marta•Ridolfi Luca•Laio Francesco
Nature Food
2022
•2022/1/31
•00 p.1-9
The EAT–Lancet Commission has proposed a global benchmark diet to guide the shift towards healthy and sustainable dietary patterns. Yet it is unclear whether consumers’ choices are convergent with those guidelines. Applying an advanced statistical analysis, we mapped the diet gap of 15 essential foo...
AgricultureEnvironmental sciencesSustainability
10.1038/S43016-021-00452-0
ISSN:2662-1355
Global methane emissions from rice paddies are now increasingly quantifiable
Mukesh Kumar Mehla•Ajay Singh•Jaehak Jeong•Limei Ran
Communications Earth & Environment
2026
•2026/8/8
•Vol.7 No.1 p.6430
Accurate accounting of global methane remains a critical challenge, with rice cultivation contributing significantly to uncertainties in global methane budgets. Both top-down and bottom-up approaches still largely depend on emission factors and census data. In this review, we synthesize current know...
Carbon cycleClimate change
10.1038/S43247-026-03902-4
ISSN:2662-4435
Cost–benefit analysis of nanofertilizers and nanopesticides emphasizes the need to improve the efficiency of nanoformulations for widescale adoption
Su Yiming•Zhou Xuefei•Meng Huan•Xia Tian•Liu Haizhou等 11 人
Nature Food
2022
•2022/12/1
•Vol.3 No.12 p.1020-1030
Nanotechnology-based approaches have demonstrated encouraging results for sustainable agriculture production, particularly in the field of fertilizers and pesticide innovation. It is essential to evaluate the economic and environmental benefits of these nanoformulations. Here we estimate the potenti...
AgricultureEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43016-022-00647-Z
ISSN:2662-1355
China’s urban vertical growth substantially influences global food security
Jiatong Han•Xiaofan Xu•Minghong Tan
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
•2025/11/27
0Urban vertical growth has emerged as a crucial strategy for China. However, its potential impacts on cropland protection and global food security have not been thoroughly evaluated. This study compares the modes of urban vertical growth in China, the United States, Europe and other Asian countries, ...
Developing worldGeographySustainability
10.1038/S43247-025-03018-1
ISSN:2662-4435
Food systems transformation would reshape global agriculture
Matthew Gibson•Marina Sundiang•Daniel Mason-D’Croz•Thais Diniz Oliveira•Felicitas Beier等 47 人
Nature
2026
•2026/7/15
•00 p.1-8
Food systems are a major contributor to exceeding planetary boundaries1–3 and poor quality diets are a key mortality risk globally4. Projected population and income growth could exacerbate these challenges5. In response, there are calls for transformation towards healthy and sustainable food systems...
AgricultureEconomicsEnvironmental impactSocioeconomic scenariosSustainability
10.1038/S41586-026-10775-2
ISSN:0028-0836
Children’s and adolescents’ rising animal-source food intakes in 1990–2018 were impacted by age, region, parental education and urbanicity
Miller Victoria•Webb Patrick•Cudhea Frederick•Zhang Jianyi•Reedy Julia等 10 人
Nature Food
2023
•2023/4/20
•00 p.1-15
Animal-source foods (ASF) provide nutrition for children and adolescents’ physical and cognitive development. Here, we use data from the Global Dietary Database and Bayesian hierarchical models to quantify global, regional and national ASF intakes between 1990 and 2018 by age group across 185 countr...
EpidemiologyRisk factors
10.1038/S43016-023-00731-Y
ISSN:2662-1355
Rebound effects may undermine the benefits of upcycling food waste and food processing by-products as animal feed in China
Weitong Long•Xueqin Zhu•Hans-Peter Weikard•Oene Oenema•Yong Hou
Nature Food
2025
•2025/8/26
•00 p.1-11
Upcycling food waste and food processing by-products as animal feed could reduce livestock-related emissions, but rebound effects, where lower feed costs lead to livestock expansion, may diminish these benefits. Here, using an integrated environmental–economic model, we assess the impacts of this up...
Climate-change mitigationClimate-change policyEnvironmental economicsEnvironmental impactSustainability
10.1038/S43016-025-01219-7
ISSN:2662-1355
Climate adaptation through crop migration requires a nexus perspective for environmental sustainability in the North China Plain
Weiyi Gu•Guosong Ma•Rui Wang•Laura Scherer•Pan He等 9 人
Nature Food
2024
•2024/6/28
•00 p.1-12
Crop migration can moderate the impacts of global warming on crop production, but its feedback on the climate and environment remains unknown. Here we develop an integrated framework to capture the climate impacts and the feedback of adaptation behaviours with the land–water–energy–carbon nexus pers...
Climate-change adaptationEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43016-024-01008-8
ISSN:2662-1355
Climate-driven global cropland changes and consequent feedbacks
Nanshan You•Jessica Till•David B. Lobell•Peng Zhu•Paul C. West等 12 人
Nature Geoscience
2025
•2025/6/20
•00 p.1-7
The interdependence of climate change and agricultural land use remains a critical, yet unquantified, area of concern for future food production. Here we determine climate-driven cropland change based on an empirical model of cropland response to changes in agricultural productivity. By estimating c...
Carbon cycleClimate-change impactsEnvironmental impactSustainability
10.1038/S41561-025-01724-1
ISSN:1752-0894
Sevenfold variation in global feeding capacity depends on diets, land use and nitrogen management
Chatzimpiros Petros•Harchaoui Souhil
Nature Food
2023
•2023/4/10
•00 p.1-12
Harvested food carries a fraction of the nitrogen applied through fertilization; the remainder is typically lost into the environment, impairing planetary sustainability. Using a global agriculture model that integrates key drivers of food production and nitrogen cycling, we simulated upper bounds t...
AgricultureEnvironmental impactSustainability
10.1038/S43016-023-00741-W
ISSN:2662-1355
Risk of forced labour embedded in the US fruit and vegetable supply
Blackstone Nicole Tichenor•Norris Catherine Benoit•Robbins Tali•Jackson Bethany•Decker Sparks Jessica L.
Nature Food
2021
•2021/8/23
•00 p.1-8
Sustainable food consumption studies have largely focused on promoting human health within ecological limits. Less attention has been paid to social sustainability, in part because of limited data and models. Globally, agriculture has one of the highest incidences of forced labour, with exploitative...
Environmental studiesSocial policySustainability
10.1038/S43016-021-00339-0
ISSN:2662-1355
Crop production in Pakistan and low nitrogen use efficiencies
Ahmad Naeem Shahzad•Muhammad Kamran Qureshi•Abdul Wakeel•Tom Misselbrook
Nature Sustainability
2019
•2019/11/25
•Vol.2 No.12 p.1106-1114
Overuse of nitrogen (N) fertilizer, a crucial productivity factor in world cropping systems, is detrimental to the sustainability of crop production from an economic and environmental perspective. Mean yield, N fertilizer use, partial factor productivity (PFP) of N, N use efficiency (NUE) and N surp...
AgricultureEcology
10.1038/S41893-019-0429-5
ISSN:2398-9629
Population aging mitigates food consumption-induced non-CO2 GHG emissions in China
Kaijie Chen•Tao Huang•Xiaodong Zhang•Xinrui Liu•Xiaohu Jian等 11 人
Npj Climate And Atmospheric Science
2025
•2025/4/16
•Vol.8 No.1 p.1-11
China has been experiencing rapidly growing agricultural non-CO2 greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and aged population owing to its vast population and enormous food demands. However, the response of non-CO2 GHG emission to population aging-related food consumption is unclear. The food inspection surve...
Environmental sciencesEnvironmental social sciences
10.1038/S41612-025-01038-4
ISSN:2397-3722
Sustainable trio for food, energy, and water security in Eurasia
Yaxin Shi•Yao Wang•Suning Liu•Bellie Sivakumar•Venkat Lakshmi等 13 人
Communications Sustainability
2026
•2026/2/11
•Vol.1 No.1 p.300
The Belt and Road Initiative promotes international cooperation and economic growth across Eurasia but poses challenges to sustainable development, especially in food, energy, and water security. Here, we use a national-scale Bayesian network model and analyze food-energy-water nexus interactions ac...
HydrologySustainability
10.1038/S44458-025-00030-6
ISSN:3059-4308
Regional responses to oceanic variability constrain global drought synchrony
Udit Bhatia•Hemant Poonia•Danish Mansoor Tantary•Vimal Mishra•Rohini Kumar
Communications Earth & Environment
2026
•2026/1/6
•Vol.7 No.1 p.860
Synchronized droughts threaten global food security, with concerns about increased frequency and duration under climate change. However, their long-term evolution and physical limits remain unknown. We analyze 61 drought networks over 120 years (1901–2020) of Self Calibrating palmer drought severity...
Climate-change impactsHydrologyNatural hazards
10.1038/S43247-025-03111-5
ISSN:2662-4435
Trend towards virtual and hybrid conferences may be an effective climate change mitigation strategy
Tao Yanqiu•Steckel Debbie•Klemeš Jiří Jaromír•You Fengqi
Nature Communications
2021
•2021/12/16
•Vol.12 No.1 p.1-14
Since 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has urged event holders to shift conferences online. Virtual and hybrid conferences are greener alternatives to in-person conferences, yet their environmental sustainability has not been fully assessed. Considering food, accommodation, preparation, execution, inform...
Climate-change impactsEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S41467-021-27251-2
ISSN:2041-1723
Uneven agricultural contraction within fast-urbanizing urban agglomeration decreases the nitrogen use efficiency of crop production
Chen Chen•Zongguo Wen•Ni Sheng•Qingbin Song
Nature Food
2024
•2024/5/14
•00 p.1-12
Diverse development paths among cities within an urban agglomeration can lead to uneven changes in their agricultural production scale, which reshape the inter-city food supply patterns and the spatiotemporal characteristics of nitrogen (N) pollution from the food system. Here, using Guangdong–Hong ...
Environmental impactEnvironmental studies
10.1038/S43016-024-00980-5
ISSN:2662-1355
Modelling the drivers of a widespread shift to sustainable diets
Sibel Eker•Gerhard Reese•Michael Obersteiner
Nature Sustainability
2019
•2019/7/22
•Vol.2 No.8 p.725-735
A reduction in global meat consumption can significantly reduce the adverse environmental effects of the food system, but it would require widespread dietary changes. Such shifts to sustainable diets depend on several behavioural factors that have not yet been addressed in relation to the food syste...
Climate-change mitigationPsychology and behaviourSustainability
10.1038/S41893-019-0331-1
ISSN:2398-9629
Health–environment efficiency of diets shows nonlinear trends over 1990–2011
Pan He•Zhu Liu•Giovanni Baiocchi•Dabo Guan•Yan Bai等 6 人
Nature Food
2024
•2024/2/8
•00 p.1-9
Understanding the impacts of diets on health and the environment, as well as their association with socio-economic development, is key to operationalize and monitor food systems shifts. Here we propose a health–environment efficiency indicator defined as a ratio of health benefits and four key food-...
Risk factorsSustainability
10.1038/S43016-024-00924-Z
ISSN:2662-1355
Substantial carbon drawdown potential from enhanced rock weathering in the United Kingdom
Kantzas Euripides P.•Val Martin Maria•Lomas Mark R.•Eufrasio Rafael M.•Renforth Phil等 17 人
Nature Geoscience
2022
•2022/4/25
•00 p.1-8
Achieving national targets for net-zero carbon emissions will require atmospheric carbon dioxide removal strategies compatible with rising agricultural production. One possible method for delivering on these goals is enhanced rock weathering, which involves modifying soils with crushed silicate rock...
BiogeochemistryCarbon cycleClimate-change mitigationClimate sciences
10.1038/S41561-022-00925-2
ISSN:1752-0894
Decreases in global beer supply due to extreme drought and heat
Wei Xie•Wei Xiong•Jie Pan•Tariq Ali•Qi Cui等 10 人
Nature Plants
2018
•2018/10/15
•Vol.4 No.11 p.964-973
Beer is the most popular alcoholic beverage in the world by volume consumed, and yields of its main ingredient, barley, decline sharply in periods of extreme drought and heat. Although the frequency and severity of drought and heat extremes increase substantially in range of future climate scenarios...
Climate-change impactsEconomics
10.1038/S41477-018-0263-1
ISSN:2055-0278
The dual impact of trade on the water–energy–food nexus globally
Caichun Yin•Wenwu Zhao•Bojie Fu•Paulo Pereira•Michael E. Meadows等 7 人
Nature Sustainability
2026
•2026/4/2
•00 p.1-12
Global trade underpins sustainable development by linking water, energy and food across distant regions, yet how it reshapes transboundary synergies and trade-offs within this nexus remains poorly understood. Here, by constructing water–energy–food (WEF) networks that integrate cross-border resource...
Developing worldGeographyInterdisciplinary studiesSocioeconomic scenariosSustainability
10.1038/S41893-026-01796-W
ISSN:2398-9629
Adjusting agricultural emissions for trade matters for climate change mitigation
Foong Adrian•Pradhan Prajal•Frör Oliver•Kropp Jürgen P.
Nature Communications
2022
•2022/6/9
•Vol.13 No.1 p.1-10
Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in food systems is becoming more challenging as food is increasingly consumed away from producer regions, highlighting the need to consider emissions embodied in trade in agricultural emissions accounting. To address this, our study explores recent trends in trade-a...
AgricultureClimate-change impacts
10.1038/S41467-022-30607-X
ISSN:2041-1723
Snowmelt risk telecouplings for irrigated agriculture
Qin Yue•Hong Chaopeng•Zhao Hongyan•Siebert Stefan•Abatzoglou John T.等 13 人
Nature Climate Change
2022
•2022/10/31
•Vol.12 No.11 p.1007-1015
Climate change is altering the timing and magnitude of snowmelt, which may either directly or indirectly via global trade affect agriculture and livelihoods dependent on snowmelt. Here, we integrate subannual irrigation and snowmelt dynamics and a model of international trade to assess the global re...
Climate-change adaptationEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S41558-022-01509-Z
ISSN:1758-678X
The economic, agricultural, and food security repercussions of a wild pollinator collapse in Europe
Arndt Feuerbacher•Markus Kempen•Johannes L. M. Steidle•Christine Wieck
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/11/10
•Vol.16 No.1 p.98920
Biodiversity conservation policies often face resistance, yet the global agri-food system’s vulnerability to ecosystem service declines, such as wild pollinator losses, remains poorly understood. Wild pollinators are vital for sustaining crop yields, especially nutrient-rich crops. Declines in their...
AgricultureBiodiversityEconomicsEnvironmental economicsNutrition
10.1038/S41467-025-65414-7
ISSN:2041-1723
Solutions to the double burden of malnutrition also generate health and environmental benefits
Emiliano Lopez Barrera•Thomas Hertel
Nature Food
2023
•2023/7/24
•Vol.4 No.7 p.616-624
Present food consumption patterns will intensify pressure on natural resources, while poor nutrition is expected to prevail at both low and high levels of calorie consumption. To better understand the interplay between food security, environment and health, we use an integrated framework that allows...
EconomicsInterdisciplinary studies
10.1038/S43016-023-00798-7
ISSN:2662-1355
International trade substantially reshapes methane emissions from rice cultivation
M. Banja•M. Crippa•F. Pagani•F. N. Tubiello•A. Leip
Communications Sustainability
2026
•2026/7/22
•Vol.1 No.1 p.1150
Rice cultivation is a major source of methane, a potent greenhouse gas with significant climate implications. Official inventories report emissions based on domestic production, often overlooking the role of international trade in redistributing methane. Major exporters shift a substantial portion o...
Climate sciencesEnvironmental sciences
10.1038/S44458-026-00118-7
ISSN:3059-4308
Restoring small water bodies to improve lake and river water quality in China
Wangzheng Shen•Liang Zhang•Emily A. Ury•Sisi Li•Biqing Xia等 6 人
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/1/2
•Vol.16 No.1 p.1-10
Climate change, population growth, and agricultural intensification are increasing nitrogen (N) inputs, while driving the loss of inland water bodies that filter excess N. However, the interplay between N inputs and water body dynamics, and its implications for water quality remain poorly understood...
BiogeochemistryEnvironmental sciences
10.1038/S41467-024-55714-9
ISSN:2041-1723
Dissecting the vital role of dietary changes in food security assessment under climate change
Jin Zhao•Zhentao Zhang•Chuang Zhao•Zhijuan Liu•Erjing Guo等 16 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
•2024/8/17
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-9
National and global food security depend on both supply and demand, yet the vast majority of studies on the impact of climate change on food security have focused somewhat myopically on the supply side. Here, we assess planetary implications of the changing climate for food supply, concurrently...
Climate-change impactsProjection and prediction
10.1038/S43247-024-01612-3
ISSN:2662-4435
Agricultural intensification, Indigenous stewardship and land sparing in tropical dry forests
Pratzer Marie•Fernández-Llamazares Álvaro•Meyfroidt Patrick•Krueger Tobias•Baumann Matthias等 7 人
Nature Sustainability
2023
•2023/2/9
•00 p.1-12
Agricultural intensification, an increase in per-area productivity, may spare forests otherwise lost to agricultural expansion. Yet which conditions enable such sparing or whether intensification amplifies deforestation through rebound effects remains hotly debated. Using a multilevel Bayesian regre...
AgricultureGeographySustainability
10.1038/S41893-023-01073-0
ISSN:2398-9629
International corporations trading Brazilian soy are keystone actors for water stewardship
De Petrillo Elena•Tuninetti Marta•Ridolfi Luca•Laio Francesco
Communications Earth & Environment
2023
•2023/3/22
•Vol.4 No.1 p.1-12
Transnational corporations play a major, but poorly constrained, role in reallocating global water resources. Here, we couple high-resolution, company-specific trade data with hydrological and crop models to estimate the virtual water trade of the top 9 transnational corporations that trade Brazilia...
Environmental impactHydrologyPolicyWater resources
10.1038/S43247-023-00742-4
ISSN:2662-4435