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相关论文
36The unrealized potential of agroforestry for an emissions-intensive agricultural commodity
Alexander Becker•Jan D. Wegner•Evans Dawoe•Konrad Schindler•William J. Thompson等 10 人
Nature Sustainability
2025
•2025/8/6
•00 p.1-10
Reconciling agricultural production with climate change mitigation is a formidable sustainability problem. Retaining trees in agricultural systems is one proposed solution, but the magnitude of the current and future potential benefit that trees contribute to climate change mitigation remains uncert...
AgroecologyClimate-change mitigationEcosystem services
10.1038/S41893-025-01608-7
ISSN:2398-9629
A local-to-global emissions inventory of macroplastic pollution
Joshua W. Cottom•Ed Cook•Costas A. Velis
Nature
2024
•2024/9/4
•Vol.633 No.8028 p.101-108
Negotiations for a global treaty on plastic pollution1 will shape future policies on plastics production, use and waste management. Its parties will benefit from a high-resolution baseline of waste flows and plastic emission sources to enable identification of pollution hotspots and their causes2. N...
EngineeringEnvironmental sciences
10.1038/S41586-024-07758-6
ISSN:0028-0836
Estimating internal displacement in Ukraine from high-frequency GPS mobile phone data
Rodgers Iradukunda•Francisco Rowe•Elisabetta Pietrostefani
Humanities And Social Sciences Communications
2025
•2025/11/27
•Vol.12 No.1 p.18630
Nearly 110 million people are forcibly displaced worldwide. However, estimating the scale and patterns of internally displaced persons in real time, and developing appropriate policy responses, are hindered by traditional data streams because they are infrequently updated, costly and slow. Mobile ph...
Complex networksGeography
10.1057/S41599-025-06137-4
ISSN:2662-9992
Global economic impact of weather variability on the rich and the poor
Lennart Quante•Sven N. Willner•Christian Otto•Anders Levermann
Nature Sustainability
2024
•2024/9/13
•00 p.1-10
Temperature and precipitation variability and extremes impact production globally. These production disruptions will change with future warming, impacting consumers locally as well as remotely through supply chains. Due to a potentially nonlinear economic response, trade impacts are difficult to qua...
Climate-change impactsEconomicsSustainability
10.1038/S41893-024-01430-7
ISSN:2398-9629
The effect of rainfall changes on economic production
Kotz Maximilian•Levermann Anders•Wenz Leonie
Nature
2022
•2022/1/12
•Vol.601 No.7892 p.223-227
Macro-economic assessments of climate impacts lack an analysis of the distribution of daily rainfall, which can resolve both complex societal impact channels and anthropogenically forced changes1–6. Here, using a global panel of subnational economic output for 1,554 regions worldwide over the past 4...
Environmental economicsEnvironmental healthInterdisciplinary studies
10.1038/S41586-021-04283-8
ISSN:0028-0836
Adopting yield-improving practices to meet maize demand in Sub-Saharan Africa without cropland expansion
Fernando Aramburu-Merlos•Fatima A. M. Tenorio•Nester Mashingaidze•Alex Sananka•Stephen Aston等 7 人
Nature Communications
2024
•2024/5/27
•Vol.15 No.1 p.1-11
Maize demand in Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to increase 2.3 times during the next 30 years driven by demographic and dietary changes. Over the past two decades, the area cropped with maize has expanded by 17 million hectares in the region, with limited yield increase. Following this trend could p...
AgroecologyTropical ecology
10.1038/S41467-024-48859-0
ISSN:2041-1723
Fine-scale population structure and widespread conservation of genetic effect sizes between human groups across traits
Sile Hu•Lino A. F. Ferreira•Sinan Shi•Garrett Hellenthal•Jonathan Marchini等 7 人
Nature Genetics
2025
•2025/2/3
•Vol.57 No.2 p.379-389
Understanding genetic differences between populations is essential for avoiding confounding in genome-wide association studies and improving polygenic score (PGS) portability. We developed a statistical pipeline to infer fine-scale Ancestry Components and applied it to UK Biobank data. Ancestry Comp...
Genome-wide association studiesMedical geneticsPopulation geneticsSoftware
10.1038/S41588-024-02035-8
ISSN:1061-4036
Localized nitrogen management strategies can halve fertilizer use in Chinese staple crop production
Yize Liu•Minghao Zhuang•Xia Liang•Shu Kee Lam•Deli Chen等 12 人
Nature Food
2024
•2024/9/27
•Vol.5 No.10 p.825-835
Nitrogen (N) management is the key to achieving food security and environmental sustainability. Here we analyse N flows using a localized N management model for wheat, maize and rice in 1,690 Chinese counties, with a breakdown of multiple reactive N (Nr) loss pathways. Results show that the total N ...
Element cyclesEnvironmental impactSocioeconomic scenarios
10.1038/S43016-024-01057-Z
ISSN:2662-1355
Underlying rules of evolutionary urban systems in Africa
Gang Xu•Mengyan Zhu•Bin Chen•Muhammad Salem•Zhibang Xu等 11 人
Nature Cities
2025
•2025/2/18
•00 p.1-9
Africa is set to drive future global urbanization, yet the evolution of its urban systems remains underexplored. Here we show this evolution during 1950–2020 using three urban system rules based on a unified urban definition across the African continent. Zipf’s law quantified increasing population c...
Development studiesGeography
10.1038/S44284-025-00208-Y
ISSN:2731-9997
Local incomplete combustion emissions define the PM2.5 oxidative potential in Northern India
Deepika Bhattu•Sachchida Nand Tripathi•Himadri Sekhar Bhowmik•Vaios Moschos•Chuan Ping Lee等 45 人
Nature Communications
2024
•2024/4/25
•Vol.15 No.1 p.1-13
The oxidative potential (OP) of particulate matter (PM) is a major driver of PM-associated health effects. In India, the emission sources defining PM-OP, and their local/regional nature, are yet to be established. Here, to address this gap we determine the geographical origin, sources of PM, and its...
Atmospheric chemistryClimate sciences
10.1038/S41467-024-47785-5
ISSN:2041-1723
A global early warning system for predicting exposure of biodiversity to extreme heat
Josep M. Serra-Diaz•Lauren C. Andrews•Andreas Schwarz Meyer•Ben S. Carlson•Brian Maitner等 11 人
Nature Climate Change
2026
•2026/6/8
•00 p.1-8
Effective biodiversity conservation during periods of rapid environmental change requires identifying the species and regions at greatest risk. However, most predictions focus on biodiversity shifts several decades ahead, offering limited guidance for immediate conservation action. Here we develop a...
BiodiversityClimate-change ecologyProjection and prediction
10.1038/S41558-026-02642-9
ISSN:1758-678X
Future heat-related mortality in Europe driven by compound day-night heatwaves and demographic shifts
Xilin Wu•Jun Wang•Yong Ge•Shengjie Lai•Die Zhang等 7 人
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/8/11
•Vol.16 No.1 p.1-15
Anthropogenic climate change is driving summer heat toward more humid conditions, accompanied by more frequent day-night compound heat extremes (high temperatures during both day and night). As the fast-warming and aging continent, Europe faces escalating heat-related health risks. Here, we projecte...
Climate-change adaptationEnvironmental healthNatural hazards
10.1038/S41467-025-62871-Y
ISSN:2041-1723
Heterogeneities in landed costs of traded grains and oilseeds contribute to unequal access to food
Jasper Verschuur•Yiorgos Vittis•Michael Obersteiner•Jim W. Hall
Nature Food
2025
•2025/1/6
•00 p.1-11
Despite the growing accessibility of international grain and oilseed markets, high production costs and trade frictions are still prevalent, contributing to regional heterogeneities in the landed cost of grain imports. Here we quantify the landed cost for six grain commodities across 3,500 administr...
AgricultureEconomicsEnvironmental impactGeography
10.1038/S43016-024-01087-7
ISSN:2662-1355
Ghost roads and the destruction of Asia-Pacific tropical forests
Jayden E. Engert•Mason J. Campbell•Joshua E. Cinner•Yoko Ishida•Sean Sloan等 9 人
Nature
2024
•2024/4/10
•00 p.1-6
Roads are expanding at the fastest pace in human history. This is the case especially in biodiversity-rich tropical nations, where roads can result in forest loss and fragmentation, wildfires, illicit land invasions and negative societal effects1–5. Many roads are being constructed illegally or info...
EcologyEnvironmental impactEnvironmental sciences
10.1038/S41586-024-07303-5
ISSN:0028-0836
Global patterns and drivers of tropical aboveground carbon changes
Yu Feng•Philippe Ciais•Jean-Pierre Wigneron•Yidi Xu•Alan D. Ziegler等 15 人
Nature Climate Change
2024
•2024/9/12
•Vol.14 No.10 p.1064-1070
Tropical terrestrial ecosystems play an important role in modulating the global carbon balance. However, the complex dynamics and factors controlling tropical aboveground live biomass carbon (AGC) are not fully understood. Here, using remotely sensed observations, we find a moderate net AGC sink of ...
BiogeochemistryClimate changeForest ecology
10.1038/S41558-024-02115-X
ISSN:1758-678X
Threat of low-frequency high-intensity floods to global cropland and crop yields
Jichong Han•Zhao Zhang•Jialu Xu•Yi Chen•Jonas Jägermeyr等 13 人
Nature Sustainability
2024
•2024/6/24
•00 p.1-13
Flood hazards pose a significant threat to agricultural production. Agricultural adaptations tend to be prevalent and systematic in high-frequency flood (HFF) areas but neglected in low-frequency flood (LFF) areas. Here, using satellite imagery, we map global spatial distributions of LFF and HFF at ...
HydrologyNatural hazards
10.1038/S41893-024-01375-X
ISSN:2398-9629
Long-range PM2.5 pollution and health impacts from the 2023 Canadian wildfires
Qiang Zhang•Yuexuanzi Wang•Qingyang Xiao•Guannan Geng•Steven J. Davis等 15 人
Nature
2025
•2025/9/10
•00 p.1-7
Smoke from extreme wildfires in Canada adversely affected air quality in many regions in 20231,2. Here we use satellite observations, machine learning and a chemical transport model to quantify global and regional PM2.5 (particulate matter less than 2.5 μm in diameter) exposure and human health impa...
Environmental impactNatural hazards
10.1038/S41586-025-09482-1
ISSN:0028-0836
Global landscape of SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance and data sharing
Chen Zhiyuan•Azman Andrew S.•Chen Xinhua•Zou Junyi•Tian Yuyang等 15 人
Nature Genetics
2022
•2022/3/28
•00 p.1-9
Genomic surveillance has shaped our understanding of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants. We performed a global landscape analysis on SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance and genomic data using a collection of country-specific data. Here, we characterize increasing circu...
EpidemiologyInfectious diseases
10.1038/S41588-022-01033-Y
ISSN:1061-4036
Global maps of cropland extent and change show accelerated cropland expansion in the twenty-first century
Potapov Peter•Turubanova Svetlana•Hansen Matthew C.•Tyukavina Alexandra•Zalles Viviana等 10 人
Nature Food
2021
•2021/12/23
•00 p.1-10
Spatiotemporally consistent data on global cropland extent is essential for tracking progress towards sustainable food production. In the present study, we present an analysis of global cropland area change for the first two decades of the twenty-first century derived from satellite data time-series...
AgroecologyEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43016-021-00429-Z
ISSN:2662-1355
Reconciling crop production, climate action and nature conservation in Europe by agricultural intensification and extensification
Ting Hua•Xiangping Hu•Gunnar Austrheim•James D. M. Speed•Bob van Oort等 6 人
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/11/21
•Vol.16 No.1 p.102890
Agricultural production in areas characterized by low productivity, steep slopes, and high fragmentation is usually associated with higher-than-average management costs and environmental impacts. Abandoning this suboptimal cropland to vegetation regrowth, while optimizing crop production in other lo...
AgroecologyAgricultureClimate-change mitigationEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S41467-025-65201-4
ISSN:2041-1723
Global industrial emissions of chlorinated and brominated polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons
Yueyao Yang•Yahui Liu•Zhefu Yu•Guohua Zhu•Bingcheng Lin等 9 人
Nature Sustainability
2025
•2025/10/15
•00 p.1-10
Chlorinated and brominated polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (Cl/BrPAHs) are emerging organic pollutants that pose severe risks to both the natural environment and public health. However, the limited understanding of their global emission sources and levels hinders effective control measures. Here we...
Environmental impactEnvironmental monitoring
10.1038/S41893-025-01656-Z
ISSN:2398-9629
Disproportionate flood exposure for slum populations of the Global South
Dan Li•Laixiang Sun•Kuishuang Feng•Ning Zhang•Yang Yu等 7 人
Nature Cities
2025
•2025/7/4
•Vol.2 No.7 p.626-638
Rapid urbanization is leading to the expansion of human settlements in flood-prone areas, and the impact is not uniform across different communities. Few studies have comprehensively investigated the flood exposure faced by vulnerable communities in the Global South, where pervasive slums present a ...
Climate-change adaptationDeveloping worldDevelopment studiesSustainability
10.1038/S44284-025-00273-3
ISSN:2731-9997
Emergence and phenotypic characterization of the global SARS-CoV-2 C.1.2 lineage
Scheepers Cathrine•Everatt Josie•Amoako Daniel G.•Tegally Houriiyah•Wibmer Constantinos Kurt等 45 人
Nature Communications
2022
•2022/4/8
•Vol.13 No.1 p.1-9
Global genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 has identified variants associated with increased transmissibility, neutralization resistance and disease severity. Here we report the emergence of the PANGO lineage C.1.2, detected at low prevalence in South Africa and eleven other countries. The initial C....
EpidemiologySARS-CoV-2Viral infection
10.1038/S41467-022-29579-9
ISSN:2041-1723
Quantifying salinity and drought drive forces on paddy field loss in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam
Quan Wang•Kun Yang•Yanhui Zhu•Zongqi Peng•Siyu Chen等 7 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
•2025/7/1
•Vol.6 No.1 p.1-10
As the third-largest rice exporter globally, 90% of Vietnam’s rice exports come from the Mekong Delta. However, while global cultivated land has expanded since this century, both the area and yield of paddy rice in the Vietnam Mekong Delta (VMD) have declined, equivalent to the rations for 8.7 milli...
Environmental healthEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S43247-025-02490-Z
ISSN:2662-4435
Low and uneven rural road lighting coverage in Africa
Jiahuan Li•Yu Wang•Hailan Huang•Zhirong Zhang•Bin Wu
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
•2025/11/24
•Vol.6 No.1 p.9600
Africa’s rapid urbanization and infrastructure expansion are driving demand for road lighting across the continent. However, the current knowledge regarding road lighting coverage is fragmented. Here, we employed high-resolution nighttime SDGSAT-1 satellite data, OpenStreetMap road network data, and...
Energy and societySustainability
10.1038/S43247-025-02915-9
ISSN:2662-4435
The geometry of global protected lands
Santiago A. Schauman•Josep Peñuelas•Esteban G. Jobbágy•Germán Baldi
Nature Sustainability
2023
•2023/11/6
•00 p.1-8
Expanding protected areas (PAs) is a worldwide endeavour aimed at addressing the biodiversity crisis and harnessing the benefits that natural ecosystems provide to humanity. However, conservation agendas often overlook the spatial geometry of PAs—shape and size—and its implications for critical issu...
GeographySustainability
10.1038/S41893-023-01243-0
ISSN:2398-9629
Autozygosity influences cardiometabolic disease-associated traits in the AWI-Gen sub-Saharan African study
Francisco C. Ceballos•Scott Hazelhurst•David W. Clark•Godfred Agongo•Gershim Asiki等 11 人
Nature Communications
2020
•2020/11/13
•Vol.11 No.1 p.1-8
The analysis of the effects of autozygosity, measured as the change of the mean value of a trait among offspring of genetic relatives, reveals the existence of directional dominance or overdominance. In this study we detect evidence of the effect of autozygosity in 4 out of 13 cardiometabolic diseas...
Cardiovascular diseasesConsanguinityGenome-wide association studiesObesity
10.1038/S41467-020-19595-Y
ISSN:2041-1723
Global cropland loss at borders contributes to increased biodiversity
Chiwei Xiao•Yi Wang•Zhiming Feng•Songhua Huan•Zilong Yue等 9 人
Communications Earth & Environment
2025
•2025/11/24
•Vol.6 No.1 p.9570
Border areas represent crucial, yet underexplored, potential sources of cultivated land, a region largely overlooked in global cropland analyses. Using high-frequency time-series (2001-2020) satellite data and interpretable machine learning model, here we conduct the global-coverage analysis of the ...
AgroecologyEnvironmental impactGeography
10.1038/S43247-025-02908-8
ISSN:2662-4435
Climate summits and protests have a strong impact on climate change media coverage in Germany
Jakob H. Lochner•Annika Stechemesser•Leonie Wenz
Communications Earth & Environment
2024
•2024/5/23
•Vol.5 No.1 p.1-11
Media inform the public, thereby influencing societal debates and political decisions. Despite climate change’s importance, drivers of media attention to climate change remain differently understood. Here we assess how different sociopolitical and extreme weather events affect climate change media c...
CommunicationEnvironmental economicsEnvironmental healthPsychology and behaviour
10.1038/S43247-024-01434-3
ISSN:2662-4435
COVID-19 in Amazonas, Brazil, was driven by the persistence of endemic lineages and P.1 emergence
Felipe Gomes Naveca•Valdinete Nascimento•Victor Costa de Souza•André de Lima Corado•Fernanda Nascimento等 29 人
Nature Medicine
2021
•2021/5/25
•00 p.1-9
The northern state of Amazonas is among the regions in Brazil most heavily affected by the COVID-19 epidemic and has experienced two exponentially growing waves, in early and late 2020. Through a genomic epidemiology study based on 250 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) gen...
SARS-CoV-2Virology
10.1038/S41591-021-01378-7
ISSN:1078-8956
Sparse haplotype-based fine-scale local ancestry inference at scale reveals recent selection on immune responses
Yaoling Yang•Richard Durbin•Astrid K. N. Iversen•Daniel J. Lawson
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/3/20
•Vol.16 No.1 p.1-17
Increasingly efficient methods for inferring the ancestral origin of genome regions are needed to gain insights into genetic function and history as biobanks grow in scale. Here we describe two near-linear time algorithms to learn ancestry harnessing the strengths of a Positional Burrows-Wheeler Tra...
ImmunologyPopulation geneticsSoftware
10.1038/S41467-025-57601-3
ISSN:2041-1723
Eight millennia of continuity of a previously unknown lineage in Argentina
Javier Maravall-López•Josefina M. B. Motti•Nicolás Pastor•María Pía Tavella•Mariana Fabra等 68 人
Nature
2025
•2025/11/5
•00 p.1-10
The central Southern Cone of South America was one of the last regions of the globe to become inhabited by people1, and remains under-represented in studies of ancient DNA. Here we report genome-wide data from 238 ancient individuals spanning ten millennia. The oldest, from the Pampas region and dat...
ArchaeologyEvolutionary biologyEvolutionary geneticsPopulation genetics
10.1038/S41586-025-09731-3
ISSN:0028-0836
Rising infrastructure inequalities accompany urbanization and economic development
Bhartendu Pandey•Christa Brelsford•Karen C. Seto
Nature Communications
2025
•2025/1/30
•Vol.16 No.1 p.1-12
Impending global urban population growth is expected to occur with considerable infrastructure expansion. However, our understanding of attendant infrastructure inequalities is limited, highlighting a critical knowledge gap in the sustainable development implications of urbanization. Using satellite...
Developing worldGeography
10.1038/S41467-025-56539-W
ISSN:2041-1723
Human expansion into Asian highlands in the 21st Century and its effects
Yang Chao•Liu Huizeng•Li Qingquan•Wang Xuqing•Ma Wei等 21 人
Nature Communications
2022
•2022/8/24
•Vol.13 No.1 p.1-12
Most intensive human activities occur in lowlands. However, sporadic reports indicate that human activities are expanding in some Asian highlands. Here we investigate the expansions of human activities in highlands and their effects over Asia from 2000 to 2020 by combining earth observation data and...
Environmental impactInterdisciplinary studiesSustainability
10.1038/S41467-022-32648-8
ISSN:2041-1723
Tree shortages in informal settlements across African cities
Xihong Lian•Wei Liu•Zejin Liu•Limin Jiao•Charlie M. Shackleton等 12 人
Nature Cities
2025
•2025/8/4
•00 p.1-11
Urban trees are crucial for enhancing the social and ecological qualities of urban environments, but their distribution and correlates in informal settlements across African cities remain unclear. Here we map out 53 million individual trees across 54 African cities and investigate their relationship...
SustainabilityUrban ecology
10.1038/S44284-025-00284-0
ISSN:2731-9997
Dual impact of global urban overheating on mortality
Shasha Wang•Wenfeng Zhan•Bingbing Zhou•Shilu Tong•TC Chakraborty等 14 人
Nature Climate Change
2025
•2025/4/21
•00 p.1-8
It is known that the urban heat island (UHI) effect could increase mortality in hot seasons, yet its potential health benefits during cold spells are often overlooked. Here we assess the beneficial and detrimental impacts of the UHI effect and associated cooling strategies on temperature-related mor...
Climate-change impactsEnvironmental impact
10.1038/S41558-025-02303-3
ISSN:1758-678X